• 680 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 680 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 682 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,082 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,087 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,089 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,092 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,092 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,093 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,095 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,095 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,099 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,099 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,100 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,102 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,103 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,106 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,107 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,107 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,109 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Why Is The USD So Weak?

With multiple reports of USD shortages including the need for an emergency Fed swap line in September why is it not showing in the DXY? Is the DXY to the USD what the paper market is to the precious metals?

Put yourself back in September 2008. Fannie Mae was bailed out on September 8 followed by Lehman, AIG, etc through September 22. Over that period the DXY falls 5.6%. Think traders were scratching their heads wondering why the USD was so weak? Where's the fear? Is the USD as a safe haven trade dead?

Fast forward to 2011 and the USD shortage is alive and well yet over a similar period the USD has fallen 5%. I mean what are we missing here? What does the chart say you may ask. Have a look.

Notice the multi year parallel channel the DXY is trading in and failed breakout over the summer.

Notice the price action around key bank failures.

Notice the channel it broke out of prior to moving higher.

Notice the current price action and that labeled PT A. A test of the bottom before moving higher.

Bailouts
Larger Image

Perhaps the USD is dead as a reserve currency. Perhaps QE will prove it is in fact different this time. I find the chart a little too similar to simply dismiss though.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment