• 618 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 619 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 620 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,020 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,025 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,027 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,030 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,030 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,031 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,033 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,033 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,037 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,037 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,038 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,040 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,041 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,044 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,045 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,045 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,047 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

QQQ: Breakout or Fakeout?

Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the PowerShares QQQ Trust Series (symbol: QQQ). The black and red dots are key pivot points which are the best areas of buying (support) and selling (resistance). With this week's price action the QQQ is breaking to new rally highs. This would be the 4th time over the past 10 months that QQQ has attempted to breakout above the key pivot at 58.46. The 3 prior failures are noted on the chart.

Figure 1. QQQ/ weekly
QQQ/ weekly
Larger Image

The big question is: will this stick? Will breakout #4 be the charm? Difficult question to answer. Why? Any metric used to measure the health of market action has been rendered useless. Volume? Pull up a chart and add some volume bars and you will note that this past week's volume has been the lowest volume week in over a year with the exception of the recent Thanksgiving and Christmas weeks.

So what should you do? Pay very close attention to the technical signposts. 58.46 was resistance and it is now support. A weekly close below this level means that the breakout was a fake out. It really is that simple especially in a world where the only thing you can trust is the price on your computer screen.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment