• 557 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 557 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 559 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 959 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 964 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 965 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 969 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 969 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 970 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 971 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 972 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 976 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 976 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 977 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 979 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 980 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 983 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 984 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 984 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 986 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Getting Long Gold and AUD/USD

Over the past two days readers of our daily update know that we have been taking profits from our dollar longs against the Swiss franc and Canadian dollar and rolling the profit into long AUD/USD at an average rate of 0.7665. Today's whipsaw and then reversal in the dollar was exactly what we expected to see so we confidently stepped up to buy more AUD/USD as we consider a move above 0.78 to be just a matter of time.

Readers may also recall that for the past two weeks we have said gold was nearing a key low around $410 to $400 and that we would look to buy our first shares of GLD after having warned to stay away from the initial offering three months ago. What we did not expect was that the technical setup would be so ideal.

In the chart below note how both GLD and AUD/USD have recorded a bullish weekly reversal and will also both perform our famous "weekly candlestick trick" next week by opening to the outside of the current trendline. New readers unfamiliar with our "trick" may read a previous market call here when we forecasted GBP/USD to rally from 1.80 to 1.95 back in October: http://www.fxmoneytrends.com/10.15.04.GBPUpdate.pdf

Its not every day that Mother Market lobs one across the plate for you to hit. And considering that we are big dollar bulls for 2005 and have said so for months, gold bugs should take heed that we are buying. Moreover, considering that the dollar index has pulled back from key trendline resistance at 85.25 and that February historically sees a 50% of January's gains we think that today offers an ideal opportunity to position long either GLD or AUD/USD. Risk is limited to below this week's lows. We look to take initial profits in GLD at $43 and leverage into AUD/USD as it rallies to our longstanding target above 0.82 in the coming weeks. After that we will reposition long USD.

Recent Testimonial for FX Money Trends: "I find FX Money Trends' work extremely helpful. As a macro hedge fund manager I base my success on ideas generated both internally and through external research services: FX Money Trends and its founder Jes Black constantly provide ideas which are based both on very clever fundamental and technical analysis and research. FX Money Trend's intellectual independence makes their ideas precious, never obvious nor "late." - Francesco Clarelli, Italy.

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment