Jes Black

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• The Perils of Monetizing US Debt

  Published 20 June 2007 | viewed 6,183 times

  In our weekly reports, we often take the classical view on money. While we admit that monetarism may fail as an easy policy approach, from…

• Head of the Trend: On Politics and Currencies

  Published 28 May 2007 | viewed 4,099 times

  Following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 there was a spike in interest of opposing views generated by the Left and Right where even…

• Head of the Trend: On Time and Money

  Published 15 March 2007 | viewed 5,190 times

  A shocker this week is that the US is "springing forward" with Daylight Saving Time (DST) three weeks early. So we felt this gives us…

• Gauging Inflation: The Adjustable Fed-metrics

  Published 23 February 2007 | viewed 3,118 times

  Last week we attempted to explain how the "insiders" in a sense "control" the flow in valuable information given out to the public. So you…

• Head of the Trend: Cognitive Dissonance and the Rise of Peso

  Published 09 February 2007 | viewed 3,601 times

  The ECB met this week, confirming the expectations of the majority of economists predicting that the bankers will leave rates unchanged at 3.5%. In the…

• Playing with the Masters

  Published 10 April 2006 | viewed 7,781 times

  The following is from our April 9, 2006 report.... With the final round of the Masters on today I'd like to share with you an…

• Dollar Year in Review

  Published 21 December 2005 | viewed 7,356 times

  We just finished setting up our remote office in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. Phew! We apologize to those that are not subscribers for the lack…

• Dollar Rally Part 2 Begins Now

  Published 04 November 2005 | viewed 4,628 times

  On October 5, 2004 we published the following chart showing the next four moves we expected the dollar to make. With seasonal trends pointed down…

• Bernanke Put? Maybe Not

  Published 26 October 2005 | viewed 5,699 times

  In this morning's Financial Times we said Bernanke's appointment would reinforce the idea of a "Greenspan put." But this is easier said than done with…

• Gold Forecasting Dollar Rally

  Published 13 October 2005 | viewed 5,693 times

  Two years ago we saw the exact same symmetrical triangle setup in gold as we see now. Below we show you the ABCDE consolidation pattern…

• Greenspan's Goblins and the Cremation of Care

  Published 11 October 2005 | viewed 6,659 times

  With Halloween approaching we note that the Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan must be trying to cast out his inner demons. Steven Roach points out…

• Fed-Laced Fairytales

  Published 20 September 2005 | viewed 5,830 times

  The following is an excerpt from our September 16, 2005 market report: Blinded by Fed-laced fairytales, Wall Street has been lulled to sleep by stories…

• Hurricane Usedelia Strikes the Markets

  Published 15 September 2005 | viewed 3,761 times

  Sometimes currency trading is exhilarating. Other times it is like watching paint dry. And in some circumstances it is like trying to track a storm.…

• Foreign ETFs Continue To Outperform

  Published 08 September 2005 | viewed 4,835 times

  Last year our published outlook for stocks in 2005 was for a top in the S&P500 at 1,245 in Q1. This bearish outlook was buffeted…

• The End to Fed Tightening Campaign Is Near

  Published 06 September 2005 | viewed 5,216 times

  In the last update we made about the dollar on June 10 we said that our expected strong rally from January to June would be…

• Why We Expect Another Terror Attack

  Published 29 August 2005 | viewed 8,118 times

  If there is one consistent theme we have expressed in these pages it is the view that rising commodity prices and falling financial assets tend…

• Why We Bought The VIX

  Published 22 August 2005 | viewed 6,162 times

  The following is an excerpt from our July 31, 2005 market report: Focusing on key reversals is the primary function of our service. This year…

• Dollar Target Right On Track

  Published 10 June 2005 | viewed 5,982 times

  In our last public posting titled "Dollar Seasonal Trends Dominate Market" we stated that the dollar's selloff in March was "simply a test of the…

• Dollar Seasonal Trends Dominate Market

  Published 20 April 2005 | viewed 6,167 times

  Our use of intermarket analysis has kept us on the right side of the changing trends of 2005. In our weekly report on March 13,…

• History of Taxation Says Hide Your Gold

  Published 28 March 2005 | viewed 6,456 times

  Our call for a rally in the dollar happened like clock work last week. But with tax time just around the corner we thought to…