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Jes Black

Jes Black

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

Biography

Jes Black, hedge fund manager at Black Flag Capital Partners, specializes in foreign exchange and global macro trends. Prior to organizing the fund he helped MG Financial Group launch Forexnews.com. In the summer of 2004 Mr. Black formed FX Money Trends, a research firm catering to professional traders. Mr. Black holds a degree in economics from the University of Kansas and an MBA from the ESC in France. His market commentary is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and Reuters. He has also written numerous strategy pieces for Futures magazine.

  • The Perils of Monetizing US Debt

    Published 20 June 2007 | viewed 5,692 times

    In our weekly reports, we often take the classical view on money. While we admit that monetarism may fail as an easy policy approach, from…

  • Head of the Trend: On Politics and Currencies

    Published 28 May 2007 | viewed 3,748 times

    Following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001 there was a spike in interest of opposing views generated by the Left and Right where even…

  • Head of the Trend: On Time and Money

    Published 15 March 2007 | viewed 4,743 times

    A shocker this week is that the US is "springing forward" with Daylight Saving Time (DST) three weeks early. So we felt this gives us…

  • Gauging Inflation: The Adjustable Fed-metrics

    Published 23 February 2007 | viewed 2,753 times

    Last week we attempted to explain how the "insiders" in a sense "control" the flow in valuable information given out to the public. So you…

  • Head of the Trend: Cognitive Dissonance and the Rise of Peso

    Published 09 February 2007 | viewed 3,234 times

    The ECB met this week, confirming the expectations of the majority of economists predicting that the bankers will leave rates unchanged at 3.5%. In the…

  • Playing with the Masters

    Published 10 April 2006 | viewed 7,375 times

    The following is from our April 9, 2006 report.... With the final round of the Masters on today I'd like to share with you an…

  • Dollar Year in Review

    Published 21 December 2005 | viewed 6,959 times

    We just finished setting up our remote office in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. Phew! We apologize to those that are not subscribers for the lack…

  • Dollar Rally Part 2 Begins Now

    Published 04 November 2005 | viewed 4,299 times

    On October 5, 2004 we published the following chart showing the next four moves we expected the dollar to make. With seasonal trends pointed down…

  • Bernanke Put? Maybe Not

    Published 26 October 2005 | viewed 5,314 times

    In this morning's Financial Times we said Bernanke's appointment would reinforce the idea of a "Greenspan put." But this is easier said than done with…

  • Gold Forecasting Dollar Rally

    Published 13 October 2005 | viewed 5,271 times

    Two years ago we saw the exact same symmetrical triangle setup in gold as we see now. Below we show you the ABCDE consolidation pattern…

  • Greenspan's Goblins and the Cremation of Care

    Published 11 October 2005 | viewed 6,250 times

    With Halloween approaching we note that the Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan must be trying to cast out his inner demons. Steven Roach points out…

  • Fed-Laced Fairytales

    Published 20 September 2005 | viewed 5,416 times

    The following is an excerpt from our September 16, 2005 market report: Blinded by Fed-laced fairytales, Wall Street has been lulled to sleep by stories…

  • Hurricane Usedelia Strikes the Markets

    Published 15 September 2005 | viewed 3,387 times

    Sometimes currency trading is exhilarating. Other times it is like watching paint dry. And in some circumstances it is like trying to track a storm.…

  • Foreign ETFs Continue To Outperform

    Published 08 September 2005 | viewed 4,422 times

    Last year our published outlook for stocks in 2005 was for a top in the S&P500 at 1,245 in Q1. This bearish outlook was buffeted…

  • The End to Fed Tightening Campaign Is Near

    Published 06 September 2005 | viewed 4,900 times

    In the last update we made about the dollar on June 10 we said that our expected strong rally from January to June would be…

  • Why We Expect Another Terror Attack

    Published 29 August 2005 | viewed 7,683 times

    If there is one consistent theme we have expressed in these pages it is the view that rising commodity prices and falling financial assets tend…

  • Why We Bought The VIX

    Published 22 August 2005 | viewed 5,791 times

    The following is an excerpt from our July 31, 2005 market report: Focusing on key reversals is the primary function of our service. This year…

  • Dollar Target Right On Track

    Published 10 June 2005 | viewed 5,582 times

    In our last public posting titled "Dollar Seasonal Trends Dominate Market" we stated that the dollar's selloff in March was "simply a test of the…

  • Dollar Seasonal Trends Dominate Market

    Published 20 April 2005 | viewed 5,751 times

    Our use of intermarket analysis has kept us on the right side of the changing trends of 2005. In our weekly report on March 13,…

  • History of Taxation Says Hide Your Gold

    Published 28 March 2005 | viewed 6,103 times

    Our call for a rally in the dollar happened like clock work last week. But with tax time just around the corner we thought to…