• 989 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 989 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 991 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,391 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,395 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,397 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,400 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,401 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,402 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,403 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,404 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,408 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,408 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,409 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,411 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,411 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,415 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,415 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,415 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,418 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

A Double Top Remains Possible

Looking at the wave structure, it looks like a double top remains possible (with a target around 1385 for SPX):

S&P500

Looking at our indicators, we can notice that the Sigma trend Index (STI) decline to '1' but remains in positive territory. So, according to the STI, a bounce back from here remains possible.

All other indicators are neutral (at '3'):

Sigma Table

Looking at the Breadth Index (red line), this index declined to '-5' and closed for the first time in negative territory. If the Breadth Index closes for a second consecutive day in negative territory, then the double top scenario will be at risk:

Market Breadth


Conclusion:

As we fear that the market could rally up to 1385 in order to set a major top (prior to a sharp decline around 1200), we decided to slightly reduce our short exposure on both the CAC40 and the SPX (see our internet site for details on price).

We remain short because we are convinced that a major top is around the corner, and we don't want to miss the decline if this top has already been reached.

For those of you interested in our intraday move, you can visit our site during the day: we post all our trades in real time. You can also subscribe to our twitter account (@SigmaTradingOsc), it is free and you are updated on our latest view/trades.

Current position:
- short 1.5 SPX at 1331.28 (no more stop loss)
- short 1/2 CAC at 3254.74 (we will probably close the remaining part tomorrow morning)
- short 1/2 NDX at 2630

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment