• 826 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 827 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 828 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,228 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,233 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,235 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,238 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,238 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,239 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,241 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,241 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,245 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,245 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,246 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,248 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,249 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,252 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,253 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,253 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,255 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Another Retail Giant Bites The Dust

Forever 21 filed for Chapter…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

A Double Top Remains Possible

Looking at the wave structure, it looks like a double top remains possible (with a target around 1385 for SPX):

S&P500

Looking at our indicators, we can notice that the Sigma trend Index (STI) decline to '1' but remains in positive territory. So, according to the STI, a bounce back from here remains possible.

All other indicators are neutral (at '3'):

Sigma Table

Looking at the Breadth Index (red line), this index declined to '-5' and closed for the first time in negative territory. If the Breadth Index closes for a second consecutive day in negative territory, then the double top scenario will be at risk:

Market Breadth


Conclusion:

As we fear that the market could rally up to 1385 in order to set a major top (prior to a sharp decline around 1200), we decided to slightly reduce our short exposure on both the CAC40 and the SPX (see our internet site for details on price).

We remain short because we are convinced that a major top is around the corner, and we don't want to miss the decline if this top has already been reached.

For those of you interested in our intraday move, you can visit our site during the day: we post all our trades in real time. You can also subscribe to our twitter account (@SigmaTradingOsc), it is free and you are updated on our latest view/trades.

Current position:
- short 1.5 SPX at 1331.28 (no more stop loss)
- short 1/2 CAC at 3254.74 (we will probably close the remaining part tomorrow morning)
- short 1/2 NDX at 2630

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment