This weekend, we want to add a chart analysis to the results of our short term quant model because we have a clear divergence between US and EU (once again).
Looking at the US, we can see the market is well oriented. Current rebound is powerful and the next serious resistance is around 2200. This level seems achievable in coming days.
Looking at the CAC40, we can notice current rebound is less impressive than in the US, and it seems a possible HS is under construction (neckline @ 3600). This pattern has to be monitored in coming days.
The CAC closed a gap on Friday before reversing all the early gains. This doesn't sound bullish for coming sessions.
Looking at the DAX, we can notice current rebound is very weak (even weaker than for the CAC40). Recent gap remains open, and Friday's top was lower than last week's top. Moreover, the DAX remains stuck in a broadening downtrend channel.
Our ST quant model uplifted some stop levels:
Trading Book:
- SPX: 1 long at 1588.17 (stop @ 1564, 3pts below the model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- NDX: 1 long at 2868.65 (stop @ 2803, 5pts below the model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- CAC: 1 long at 3657.24 (stop @ 3644, 5pts below the model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- DAX: 1 long at 7817.14 (stop @ 7659, 10pts below the model to take into account bid/ask spread)
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