• 658 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 658 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 660 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,060 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,064 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,066 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,069 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,070 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,071 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,072 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,073 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,076 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,077 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,078 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,080 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,080 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,083 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,084 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,084 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,086 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

The Sentimeter: 8.14.13

Over the past two weeks, The Sentimeter has gone from bullish optimism to extreme bullish optimism. There are a lot of equity bulls. Over the past 2 years such signals have been mixed. In other words, the indicator and data behind The Sentimeter have inconsistently predicted intermediate term market tops. Since 2010, there have been 7 similar signals. 4 signals led to intermediate term market tops; the 2 failed signals coincided with Federal Reserve monetary programs; and 1 signal saw the market go flat for about 6 weeks. The two signals that coincided with Fed policy interventions were in November, 2010 (QE2) and in December, 2012 (QE4).

Sentimeter: 8.14.13

See the Equity Market Investor Sentimeter above, which is our most comprehensive sentiment indicator. This indicator is constructed from 10 different data series including opinion data (i.e., how do you feel about the market?) as well as money flow data (i.e., where is the money going?). This is the current state of equity market investor sentiment.

In the bigger picture, this type of market dynamic is late cycle. The key to navigating to this market environment is understanding where you are on the playing field.

Sentimeter Legend

 


Want more TacticalBeta? See our pricing chart and upgrade today. Get Started Now

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment