Originally published 8:00 am PST October 30, 2013

OIL 4h

Crude oil is trading lower and based on latest decline through 100 mark and down 96.00 we suspect that larger picture on this market is changing. For now we will focus on current structure which is showing a completed wave B around 103.00 level followed by recent push lower with accelerating price action through 100 mark which we think it was wave (iii), so decline should then be made by five waves down. As such, we think that bounce from the low is just another correction within downtrend. We are talking about wave (iv) that is pointing lower for wave (v), towards 95, 94 zone.

COPPER 4h

We do not look at copper very often, but I see a triangle on 4h chart, maybe already finished because of recent rally back to 3.318. We however prefer a 3.3500 breakout on a daily close basis to confirm end of a triangle and further bullish waves up to 3.450 maybe even to 3.500.

Elliott Wave Education: Triangle Pattern

A Triangle is a common 5 wave pattern labeled A-B-C-D-E that moves counter-trend and is corrective in nature. Triangles move within two channel lines drawn from waves A to C, and from waves B to D. A Triangle is either contracting or expanding depending on whether the channel lines are converging or expanding. Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3.

Contracting Triangle

• Structure is 3-3-3-3-3
• Each subwave of a triangle is usually a zig-zag
• Wave E must end in the price territory of wave A
• One subwave of a triangle usually has a much more complex structure than others subwaves
• Appears in wave four in an impulse, wave B in an A-B-C, wave X or wave Y in a double threes, wave X or wave Z in a triple threes

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