• 556 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 556 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 558 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 958 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 963 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 965 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 968 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 968 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 969 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 971 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 971 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 975 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 975 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 976 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 978 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 979 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 982 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 983 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 983 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 985 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

The State of the Trend

The major indices didn't disappoint and finished one of the strongest (from a seasonal point of view) weeks on a positive note. For the record, this is what the rest of the year looks like for the weekly SPX:

SPX table
Chart courtesy of OT Seasonal

The trend for the averages in all three time frames (daily, weekly and monthly) remains up, and this rally continues matching the 2011 QE script point for point. Bullish sentiment, however, is stalling and VIX is flashing a warning signal:

Weekly Bulls versus VIX Chart

Notwithstanding that another Fed-released taper trial balloon could precipitate a sell-off at any time, just like happened last August and September, a drop below daily channel support will signal the beginning of a sideways/down move:

SPX Daily Chart
Larger Image

Gold and silver continue to be the worst performing industry groups in 2013, and remain trapped in multiple downsloping channels:

Gold Weekly Chart
Larger Image

Silver Weekly Chart
Larger Image

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment