• 314 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 314 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 316 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 716 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 721 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 723 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 726 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 726 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 727 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 729 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 729 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 733 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 733 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 734 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 736 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 737 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 740 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 741 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 741 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 743 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

False Break or Breakout?

Looking at the weekly chart of the Sigma Whole Market Index, we can notice the market closed for the first time (since early 2010) above its pink ascending resistance. An acceleration at this stage in the cycle is either a false break (bull trap) or a clear breakout leading to an exhaustion move (asymptotic move).

Sigma Whole Market Index Chart

Until Thursday we were close to enter the weekly sell zone but with Friday's weak session, the weekly Sigma Trend Index ended the week at '40' and we are below the key 50 level. ('50' is the required level, on a weekly basis, in order to enter the sell zone). So, we won't be able to get a weekly sell signal next week and the MT model will remain neutral.

(For more detail related to our buy and sell signal, please have a look at our methodology).

MT Model Table

Looking at the Short Term model, there was no new information on Friday. The daily Sigma Trend Index closed at 18, well below the key '34' level required for a sell signal (for more detail related to our buy and sell signal, please have a look at our methodology).

ST Model table

The ST model sharply uplifted its stop on the NDX:

NDX ST Table


Short Term Trading Book:
- SPX: long at 1754.73
(stop @ 1806, 3pts below the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- NDX: long at 3506.23 (stop @ 3583, 5pts below the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)
- CAC: long at 4107.69(stop @ 4253, 5pts below the ST model to take into account bid/ask spread)

Medium Term Trading Book/:
- No more medium term position at this stage.

Out of model position:
- 1 put SPX, MAY, strike 1400 @ usd2.85

 


For those of you interested in our trades or in our methodology, you can visit our site. A full description of our ST model and MT model is available on our site. You can also subscribe to our twitter account (@SigmaTradingOsc), it is free and you are updated on our latest view/trades.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment