EUR/USD is in an underlying downtrend. However, the last two days have displayed large lower shadows, indicating potential short-term exhaustion in selling pressures near the hourly support at 1.3367. A break of the initial resistance at 1.3415 is needed to suggest a pickup in buying interest. Hourly resistances can be found at 1.3444 (28/07/2014 high) and 1.3485 (24/07/2014 high).
In the longer term, EUR/USD is in a succession of lower highs and lower lows since May 2014. The downside risk implied by the double-top formation (1.3379) has been met. However, another downside risk is given by 1.3210 (second leg lower after the rebound from 1.3503 to 1.3700). A strong support stands at 1.3296 (07/11/2013 low). A key resistance lies at 1.3549 (21/07/2014 high).
