"No warning can save people determined to grow suddently rich" - Lord Overstone

  • 19 hours Why Criminals' Cryptocurrency Choices Matter To Average Investors
  • 2 days OPEC ‘Supergroup’ Keeps Oil Exports Subdued
  • 2 days One Belt, One Road, One Direction for Precious Metals
  • 2 days Vicious Trio Keeps Bitcoin in Chokehold
  • 2 days How Infrastructure Is Driving A Commodity Boom
  • 2 days What’s Really Happening With Venezuela’s “El Petro?”
  • 2 days Gold Bull and Bear Markets
  • 3 days 5 Big Drivers of Higher Inflation Rates Ahead
  • 3 days U.S. And China To Face Off Over Aramco IPO
  • 3 days Gold Bulls, Brace Yourselves – Fed Hikes Are Coming!
  • 3 days Stocks Fail to Hold Gains, But Still No Correction
  • 3 days Cryptojacking: A New Threat Vector To Critical Infrastructure
  • 4 days Why The Next Oil Boom Will Be Fueled By Blockchain
  • 4 days 5 Things Investors Should Know About China this New Year
  • 4 days Is The South Korean Crypto-Drama Finally Over?
  • 4 days Miners’ Rally? What Rally? Watch Out for More Fake Moves!
  • 4 days Four Percent 10-year Note Yield Will Be a Floor Not a Ceiling
  • 4 days The End Is Near
  • 5 days 5 Record Breaking Gemstones Even Billionaires Can’t Buy
  • 5 days Irredeemable Currency De-tooths Savers
Elliott Wave International

Elliott Wave International

Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the world's largest market forecasting firm. EWI's 20-plus analysts provide around-the-clock forecasts of every major market in the world via…

More Info

Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VII)

Interest rates, oil prices, earnings, GDP, wars, peace, terrorism, inflation, monetary policy, etc. -- NONE have a reliable effect on the stock market

You may remember that after the 2008-2009 crash, many called into question traditional economic models. Why did they fail?

And more importantly, will they warn us of a new approaching doomsday, should there be one?

This series gives you a well-researched answer. Here is Part VII; come back soon for Part VIII.


Myth #7: "Peace is bullish for stocks."

By Robert Prechter (excerpted from the monthly Elliott Wave Theorist; published since 1979)

Most people would not argue that peace is bearish for stock prices. It would seem logical to say that peace allows companies to focus on manufacturing goods, providing services, innovation and competition, all of which helps the overall economy.

But does peace in fact have anything to do with determining stock prices?

Figure 15 provides an example of peaceful times -- the 1920s -- in which stock prices seemingly benefited. After all, they rose 500% in just eight years, as there was mostly peace around the globe.

Figure 16, however, shows that in the time immediately following, stock prices lost 89% of their value. During this time as well, there was mostly peace around the globe. Yet stock prices fell more in under three years than they had gained in the preceding eight years!

It seems that we cannot count upon any consistent relationship between peace and stock prices, either.

(Stay tuned for Part VIII of this important series, where Prechter examines another popular investment myth: Namely, that "Terrorist attacks would cauase the stock market to drop.")


 

Free Report:
"The Biggest Lie in Stock Market History"

Dear Reader,

We believe risks and opportunities even larger than those of 2007-2009 lie ahead in a bear market of epic proportions.

Only problem is, this bear market is silent right now. It's not visible to the public, because the government and the Federal Reserve inflate the credit supply and the U.S. dollar to hide its impact.

But make no mistake about it: There is a Silent Crash going on right now in the stock market, and it's having a very real impact on your spending power.

Read this special report now, free -- and see 15 eye-opening charts >>

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Don't Get Ruined by These 10 Popular Investment Myths (Part VII). EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment




Don't Miss A Single Story