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Stock Trading Alert: Still No Short-Term Direction As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Levels

Stock Trading Alert originally published on December 8, 2014, 6:16 AM:


 

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between 0.0% and +0.3% on Friday, extending their recent fluctuations as investors reacted to monthly jobs report release, among others. The S&P 500 index has managed to reach yet another new all-time high at the level of 2,079.47. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 2,085-2,100. On the other hand, support level remains at 2,060-2,065, marked by recent local lows. There have been no confirmed negative signals, however we still can see overbought conditions accompanied by negative divergences:

S&P500 Daily Chart
Larger Image

Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are negative, with index futures currently down 0.3%. The main European stock market indexes have lost 0.4-0.6% so far. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) extends its short-term fluctuations, as it trades below Friday's local highs. The nearest important resistance level is at around 2,075-2,080. On the other hand, support level is at 2,060-2,065, among others, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

S&P500 15-Minute Chart
Larger Image

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) is in an intraday downtrend, as it retraces last week's rebound. The nearest important level of support is at around 4,280-4,300. On the other hand, resistance level is at around 4,320-4,330, as the 15-minute chart shows:

NASDAQ 100 Futures 15-Minute Chart
Larger Image

Concluding, the broad stock market slightly extended its long-term uptrend, as it reached another new record high on Friday. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we still expect a downward correction or an uptrend reversal. Therefore, we continue to maintain our speculative short position. Stop-loss is at 2,085 and potential profit target is at 1,950 (S&P 500 index). It is always important to set some exit price level in case some events cause the price to move in the unlikely direction. Having safety measures in place helps limit potential losses while letting the gains grow.

Thank you.

 

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