• 526 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 526 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 528 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 928 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 932 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 934 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 937 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 938 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 939 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 940 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 941 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 945 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 945 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 946 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 948 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 948 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 952 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 952 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 952 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 955 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Gordon Long

Gordon Long

Mr. Long is a former senior group executive with IBM & Motorola, a principle in a high tech public start-up and founder of a private…

Contact Author

Mike Shedlock

Mike Shedlock

Michael "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management.

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Mish's Monthly Macro Update

Mish's Monthly Marco Update

With Mish Shedlock & Gordon T Long

30 Minute Video with Slides


Paris Crisis and The EU Refugee Problem

Mish incredulously points out that Laurent Fabius, France's foreign minister told France Info radio "If Abaaoud has been able to travel from Syria to France, it means that there are failings in the whole European system." That there could be "failings in the whole European system" is shocking news? Just look at the policies and actions taken:

  • Chancellor Merkel and EU President Jean-Claude Juncker welcome refugees from war-torn countries with open arms.
  • Millions of refugees allowed entry.
  • Fake passports not detected.
  • Belgium, France and other countries allow citizens to go to Syria and fight alongside ISIS and return as if nothing meaningful transpired.
  • France receives multiple terrorist warnings from Turkey but ignores them.
  • Germany intercepts massive weapons cache headed for Paris but essentially does nothing.

Surely, at least one of those "strong controls" should have worked? Alas, things slipped through the cracks, and we are now faced with the shocking revelation by Laurent Fabius that there may be "failings in the whole European system."

Refugee Travel Routes to Europe

"If there is one border that makes sense to close it is Greece and Turkey! Maybe also Turkey and Bulgaria!"


Japan's Fifth Recession

It may be the second under Shinzo Abe but this chart suggests it has been a Quintuple-Dip Recession. Abenomics has been a total failure, as expected..... but it did weaken the yen sending the stock market soaring!

Japan GDP QoQ

Blooomberg Notes: "Weakness in business investment and shrinking inventories contributed to the contraction amid concerns over slower growth in China and the global economy that prompted Japanese companies to hold back on spending and production. While growth is expected to pick up in the current quarter, the GDP report could put pressure on Abe and Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda to boost fiscal and monetary stimulus.


Slowing Global Economy & Possibility of a US Recession

Global trade has slowed dramatically on a value basis (think corporate cash flows) and it is being felt on earnings and investment decisions!. US freight and shipping data suggests that slowing global trade has "washed ashore" in America.

World Trade


The Coming Sub-Prime Auto Bust

"I have been surprised for sometime that the sub-prime auto party hasn't ended by now, and it hasn't! It is like the energizer bunny that just keeps on ticking".....

"Typically banks react too late, after most of the damage has been done. It's the same every cycle. By the time credit is available to those on the bottom rung, the party is about over. Regardless, and as I have pointed out numerous times, the surge in autos is one of the few things holding up consumer spending and is also the only bright spot at all of manufacturing. What cannot go on forever won't. And it's nearly the end of the line for autos. Repercussions will be deeper than economists expect!"

Gordon T Long agrees with Mish's conclusions and in fact published this study and video for his subscribers in September:

....and there is much, much more, in this fast paced 30 minute Video.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment