• 9 hours Hedge Funds Having A Banner Year
  • 12 hours Disney Heiress Asks “Is There Such A Thing As Too Much?”
  • 15 hours BHP Turns Bullish On EVs
  • 17 hours Investors Turn Bullish On America’s Nuclear Decommissioning Business
  • 1 day The $90M Inflatable Rabbit Redefining Modern Art
  • 1 day Huawei’s Fate In The Air
  • 2 days Tesla Slashes Prices Again
  • 2 days The Modern History Of Financial Entropy
  • 2 days Italy’s Central Bank Embraces Sustainable Investing
  • 2 days Trump Lifts Metals Tariffs To Cool Simmering Trade War
  • 3 days Researchers Push To Limit Space Mining
  • 3 days Could China Start Dumping U.S. Treasury Bonds?
  • 3 days Is Winter Coming For HBO?
  • 4 days Rise Of EVs Signals Peak Gasoline
  • 4 days Jeff Bezos Doubles Down On Space Colonization Ambitions
  • 5 days Gold Mining Stocks Stuck In Limbo
  • 5 days Executive Order Targets Huawei Over Espionage
  • 6 days Why Now May Be The Best Time Ever To Hold Gold
  • 6 days Fake News Sinks Shares In UK-Based Bank
  • 6 days De Beers To Build $468 Million Diamond Recovery Ship
Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Strong U.S. Dollar Weighs On Blue Chip Earnings

Earnings season is well underway,…

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

How Millennials Are Reshaping Real Estate

The real estate market is…

Ronald-Peter Stoferle

Ronald-Peter Stoferle

Incrementum AG

Ronald, born 1980 in Vienna, Austria, is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe). During his studies in business administration and…

Contact Author

Gordon Long

Gordon Long

Mr. Long is a former senior group executive with IBM & Motorola, a principle in a high tech public start-up and founder of a private…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Austrian School for Investors

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long discusses the Austrian School of Economics with German Finance bestselling author, Ronald-Peter Stöferle. Ronald is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a Certified Financial Technician (CFTe). During his studies in business administration and finance at the Vienna University of Economics and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, he worked for Raiffeisen Zentralbank (RZB) in the field of Fixed Income/Credit Investments. After graduation, he participated in various courses in Austrian Economics.

Austrian School for Investors

In 2006, he joined Vienna-based Erste Group Bank, covering International Equities, especially Asia. In 2006, he also began writing reports on gold. His six benchmark reports called 'In GOLD we TRUST' drew international coverage on CNBC, Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times.

He was awarded 2nd most accurate gold analyst by Bloomberg in 2011. In 2009, he began writing reports on crude oil. Ronald managed 2 gold-mining baskets as well as 1 silver-mining basket for Erste Group, which outperformed their benchmarks from their inception. In 2014 he published a book on Austrian Investing, Austrian School for Investors - Austrian Investing Between Inflation & Deflation.


Austrian Investing Between Inflation & Deflation

"For an investor it is critical to understand we are not in a cyclical crisis; we are in a systemic crisis."

Well I have to admit I am not an economist which is why I am open to the Austrian school of economics Complex econometric models that try to forecast future models simply do not work, the 2008 financial crisis is an example of that. The Austrian school of economics simply described is "common sense economics."

As a practitioner we are writing about the theory of the Austrian school of economics. It is a book dedicated to the practitioners of the Austrian school. What I want to point out is that the Austrian school has a completely different view when it comes to inflation and monetary systems.

For Keynesian economists inflation is simply a rise in prices. There is no point in discussing the details of inflation, however for Austrian economists it is an increase in the money supply.

The Austrian school shows the new monetary system which began august 1971, when President Richard Nixon suspended the convertibility of the dollar into gold. Since this was done we have seen major misallocation of capital.

"This interplay between inflation and deflation is crucial to understand, this refers to the term, monetarytectonics."

"If you have an Austrian mindset, you have a great advantage."

You are able to understand other currencies, thinking outside the fiat money system and as an investor focus on the real results not the nominal results you make.


The Changing Credit Cycle

"In 2016, we very well may face a recession."

For an Austrian a recession is something that's normal, it is like a fitness program that prepares the economy for the next stage up. Trying to avoid such a recession will be difficult as QE, fiscal stimulus, monetary stimulus and low interest rates only make the situation more severe.

"The credit cycle leads the business cycle and therefore the fed will have a hard time fighting this falling trend in economic activity."

To fight against it, negative rates in the US might be implemented. Many academic studies in the US say that evidence from Europe shows that negative interest rates work. The Fed may very well consider implementing negative interest rates. We will see increasing fiscal stimulus. There are many voices saying we should introduce helicopter money, but rather is it now called The People's QE.


Investing Advice from the Book

  1. To have a non fragile portfolio, and investing in your own skill set offers a great yield.

  2. A good investor separates from a bad one in times of crisis.

  3. Become an entrepreneur, the Austrian school greatly encourages entrepreneurship.

  4. The Austrian school is very modest in saying we cannot predict the future but be prepared for all scenarios.

  5. It is highly recommended to read Austrian School for Investors - Austrian Investing Between Inflation & Deflation. Many people have interpreted it as a philosophical book that attempts to cultivate and establish this Austrian mindset. It is a pragmatic school of thought which offers great benefits if implemented, and this book is the perfect guide to it.

Abstract written by Karan Singh karan1.singh@ryerson.ca

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment