• 2 days Markets Unfazed As Inflation Hits 13-Year High
  • 2 days How the Token Economy is Disrupting Financial Markets
  • 4 days FBI Investigating 100 Types Of Ransomware Attacks
  • 6 days Fed Ends Corporate Credit Emergency Lending Program
  • 8 days AMC Becomes the Latest Winning Meme Stock After GameStop
  • 10 days The Real Reason Your 401k Has Been Lagging
  • 10 days China Lifts Cap On Births, Allows Three Children Per Couple
  • 12 days The Market Is Ripe For Another GameStop Saga
  • 15 days Senate Grills Big Banks Over Pandemic Opportunism
  • 17 days Cannabis Has A Major Cash Problem
  • 17 days Ransomware Netted Criminals $350M In 2020 Alone
  • 18 days Russia Is Taking On Google
  • 19 days Chinese Regulators Deal Another Big Blow To Bitcoin
  • 20 days Ohio Residents Brave Vaccine for Chance To Win $1M
  • 22 days Inflation Is Coming. Are You Prepared?
  • 23 days 3 World-Shaking Trends Investors Need To Watch This Year
  • 23 days Travel Might Get Another Supersonic Disruption
  • 24 days The World Is Running Out Of 6 Key Resources
  • 26 days $15/Hour Minimum Wage Might Happen Naturally
  • 27 days Money-Laundering Binance Probe Report Adds To Bitcoin Woes
Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson

Ed Carlson, author of George Lindsay and the Art of Technical Analysis, and his new book, George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing is an independent…

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

21-Week Cycle High

An examination of all US Presidential election years shows a peak in equity markets in early April followed by a drop into early June. The June low serves as a launching pad for equities to rocket to new highs by year-end not-withstanding the typical Sept/Oct weakness. A low in June matches the Lindsay forecast.

However, when an election year is the eighth year of a Presidential term we get a different result. Like normal election years, equities print a top in early April and a low in early June. The rally following the June low lasts but one month before equity indices decline to new lows with the sell-off accelerating in the Sept/Oct time-frame. No final (seasonal) low is expected prior to late November.

The chart shows a weekly cycle that, since 2012, has stretched from 21 to as long as 25 weeks between highs in the S&P 500. As the previous iteration, at 24 weeks was long, it seems likely that this cycle high will fall on the short side of the average duration. Last week marked 21 weeks since the previous high in November. This cycle also matches the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high last week.

S&P500 Index Monthly Chart
Larger Image

 


Try a "sneak peek" (trial subscription) at Seattle Technical Advisors.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment