• 749 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 750 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 751 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,151 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,156 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,158 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,161 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,161 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,162 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,164 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,164 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,168 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,168 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,169 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,171 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,172 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,175 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,176 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,176 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,178 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

GDPNow Forecast Sinks to 0.4% Following More Weak Economic Report

Following another set of weak economic reports, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Model for first quarter US GDP sank 0.3 percentage points to 0.4%.


Latest forecast: 0.4 percent -- April 5, 2016

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2016 is 0.4 percent on April 5, down from 0.7 percent on April 1. After yesterday morning's light vehicle sales release from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the manufacturing report from the U.S. Bureau of the Census, the forecast for real GDP growth declined from 0.7 percent to 0.4 percent due to declines in the forecasts for real consumer spending growth and real equipment investment growth. The forecast for real GDP growth remained at 0.4 percent after this morning's international trade report from the U.S. Census Bureau, as a slight decline in the forecast for real net exports was offset by a slight increase in the forecast of real equipment investment growth.


GDPNow History

GDPNow History


Kaleidoscope Eyes

Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart made a speech to the Rotary Club of Savannah on March 21. His speech was called Kaleidoscopic Context for Monetary Policy.

I commented on his speech with my take called Kaleidoscope Eyes.


Momentum Since Lockhart's Speech

Other than that, momentum for Fed rate hikes is looking exceptional.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment