• 15 hours Why The Gold Rally Flatlined
  • 21 hours The Uranium Sector Can’t Catch A Break
  • 2 days Upcoming Fed Meeting Has Investors On Edge
  • 2 days Global Gold Sector Outlines Responsible Mining Principles
  • 3 days China’s Giant Vampire Fund Loses $120B
  • 3 days McDonalds To Roll Out Robot Drive-Thru Clerks
  • 3 days Savvy Investors Are Betting Big On This Little Data Company
  • 4 days How The Government Is Wasting Tax Money This Year
  • 4 days Supply Concerns Halt Expansion On Tianqi Lithium Plant
  • 4 days The World’s Biggest IPO Is Almost Here
  • 5 days The Relatively Of Money And Happiness
  • 5 days Wall Street Unfazed By Recession Fears
  • 5 days SoftBank Urges WeWork To Pause IPO Plans
  • 6 days Anti-Aging Market To Hit $55 Billion
  • 6 days JPM, Morgan Stanley Take Advisory Roles In Aramco IPO
  • 6 days Are Bonds In A Bubble?
  • 7 days The Unknown Media Giant Taking The World By Storm
  • 7 days From Millennial To Millionaire With One Simple Trick
  • 8 days The 5 Most Expensive Art Pieces Ever Sold
  • 8 days Are Gold Stocks Overbought?
The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Billionaires Are Pushing Art To New Limits

Welcome to Art Basel: The…

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

GDPNow Forecast Sinks to 0.4% Following More Weak Economic Report

Following another set of weak economic reports, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Model for first quarter US GDP sank 0.3 percentage points to 0.4%.


Latest forecast: 0.4 percent -- April 5, 2016

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2016 is 0.4 percent on April 5, down from 0.7 percent on April 1. After yesterday morning's light vehicle sales release from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the manufacturing report from the U.S. Bureau of the Census, the forecast for real GDP growth declined from 0.7 percent to 0.4 percent due to declines in the forecasts for real consumer spending growth and real equipment investment growth. The forecast for real GDP growth remained at 0.4 percent after this morning's international trade report from the U.S. Census Bureau, as a slight decline in the forecast for real net exports was offset by a slight increase in the forecast of real equipment investment growth.


GDPNow History

GDPNow History


Kaleidoscope Eyes

Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart made a speech to the Rotary Club of Savannah on March 21. His speech was called Kaleidoscopic Context for Monetary Policy.

I commented on his speech with my take called Kaleidoscope Eyes.


Momentum Since Lockhart's Speech

Other than that, momentum for Fed rate hikes is looking exceptional.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment