• 6 hours Did North Korean Hackers Just Steal $13M From Global ATMs?
  • 7 hours Asian Tech Stocks Rebound After A Tough Week
  • 8 hours Switzerland Bans New Audi, Mercedes, Porsche Imports
  • 9 hours Sealing Off The North Korea Smuggling Loophole
  • 11 hours This Tech Giant Is Pushing For Blockchain Adoption
  • 13 hours Venezuela’s Gold Reserves Are Reaching Critical Levels
  • 1 day Brexit Woes Weigh On The British Pound
  • 1 day Forget Turkey, This Is The Biggest Threat To European Finance
  • 1 day There’s No Hiding From Google
  • 1 day Turkish Lira Bounces Back After Qatar Bailout Pledge
  • 1 day What Happens If Tesla Goes Private?
  • 1 day China's Most Powerful Weapon In The Trade War
  • 2 days Can The S&P 500 Shake Off Negative Sentiment?
  • 2 days Standards Go Out The Window As Employers Struggle To Fill Jobs
  • 2 days The Two Trillion Dollar Markets Amazon Hasn’t Conquered
  • 2 days Digital Supermodels Outperform Humans
  • 2 days France Could Lose Billions In EU Trade Route Redirection
  • 2 days Beer Giants Are Striking Out With Millennials
  • 2 days What Is Bakkt And Can It Take Bitcoin Mainstream?
  • 3 days Tesla’s Board Delivers A Stern Message To Elon Musk
U.S.-Turkey Tensions Take A Dangerous Turn

U.S.-Turkey Tensions Take A Dangerous Turn

U.S.-Turkey tensions have reached a…

Time To Buy A Lada? Russian Auto Sales Are Booming

Time To Buy A Lada? Russian Auto Sales Are Booming

Russia’s flagship carmaker was once…

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen, founder of AlgoTrades Systems., is an internationally recognized market technical analyst and trader. Involved in the markets since 1997.

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Energy Sector Set To Save the Stock Market

Over the past few week, we have seen the price of crude oil pullback from its recent high of $42 per barrel level. Last week April 4-8th the price of crude oil pulled back to a technical support zone and then posted a strong gain closing the weekly chart at the high.

Based on short-term technical indicators, along with the current momentum which crude oil has, I feel we will see the recent highs of $42 a barrel tested once again.

So what does this mean for energy stocks in the stock market as a whole? Well, if things unfold this week as I expect they will then we should see oil rise along with, energy stocks, and the S&P 500 index.


Take a look at the chart of crude oil below:

This weekly chart of oil shows what I expect will happen over the next one to three weeks, a bounce in price.

Crude Oil Weekly Chart


XLE Energy Sector Index Fund:

Energy stocks of had a strong rally since the lows earlier this year. But as you can see from the chart and basic technical analysis the price is now running into resistance at the moving average.

The moving average has acted as resistance for price and price is currently struggling at that level once again. I wouldn't be surprised though to see the XLE fund push higher one last time testing the recent highs from last month before it tops and starting another large correction.

XLE Weekly Chart


The US stock market:

While the US stock market has posted strong gains since the January low, I feel this rally is going to come to an abrupt stop this month or in May.

If oil and energy stocks continue to move higher than we should see the stock market follow suit and for the S&P 500 to rally one last time up into a resistance zone before the next big wave of sellers step back into the market.

S&P500 Daily Chart


Energy & Stock Market Conclusion:

In short, I feel the US large-cap stocks are setting up for an epic drop in price. My technical analysis and cycle analysis are lining up very similar to what I saw during the 2000-2001 market top and the 2007 - 2008 market top. Investors should expect a 35% to 50% market correction over the next 12+ months.

With that said, the next few weeks will become very difficult to trade simply because the market is starting to get choppy with wild intraday price swings. This is because the average market participants are becoming more bullish than ever on stocks again while the large institutions are starting to distribute huge amounts of shares to these undereducated investors who don't know technical analysis and stock market cycles.

My current mindset has been to go into the markets for as little as 48 hours and then exit with a nice handsome profit using a strategy known as Price Spikes. This has worked out very well this year capturing very quick profits from these special "price spikes'. It's a simple "Get-In & Get-Out" strategy for highly volatile markets.

Good times are coming for us active traders and investors so buckle up!

 


If you would like to know when to buy and sell as a short-term trader or long-term investor using ETF's and join me at www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment