• 9 hours Another Major Car Maker Is Backing Hydrogen
  • 1 day Are Americans Finally Sold On Soccer?
  • 1 day Is The Tech Bubble About To Burst?
  • 2 days Coronavirus Could Cost Tourism Industry $80 Billion
  • 2 days What Web Traffic Trends Can Tell Us About The World
  • 2 days Miners Face Greater Headwinds
  • 3 days Boris Johnson Proposes Billion Dollar Bridge To Northern Ireland
  • 4 days Goldman Slashes Oil Price Forecast By $10
  • 5 days Tesla Raises $2 Billion In Share Selloff
  • 6 days What The T-Mobile Takeover Of Sprint Really Means For Markets
  • 6 days The U.S. Has Charged Huawei With Racketeering And Conspiracy
  • 6 days How Hydrogen Could Become The Fuel Of The Future
  • 7 days Millennials Can’t Retire, But They’ll Still Have To Help Their Parents
  • 7 days This Gold Miner Just Increased Its Dividends By 40%
  • 7 days Airbnb IPO Under Threat As China's Economy Drags
  • 8 days The Infamous Equifax Hack Just Became A National Security Issue
  • 8 days BHP Takes The Crown As World’s Top Copper Miner
  • 8 days Tesla Reopens Chinese Factory After Coronavirus Scare
  • 9 days Armed Troops Storm El Salvador’s Parliament
  • 9 days Is A New Housing Bubble Forming?
How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen, founder of AlgoTrades Systems., is an internationally recognized market technical analyst and trader. Involved in the markets since 1997.

Contact Author

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Will Your Investments Hold up Over the Next Financial Crisis, Which will be far Worse than 2008/09?

We are living in "extraordinary" times, which will end with unpleasant consequences. The world is looking towards the Central Banks to sort out these problems, whereas, the Central Banks are clueless about how to handle this situation.

Never in history has the world seen 30% of global government debt at "negative yields". This is an experiment, which is unlikely to end with a good result.

"Conventional monetary policy has less room to stimulate the economy during an economic downturn," San Francisco Fed President John Williams wrote in an essay. "This will necessitate a greater reliance on unconventional tools like central bank balance sheets, forward guidance, and potentially even negative policy rates. In this new normal, recessions will tend to be longer and deeper, recoveries slower and the risks of unacceptably low inflation…will be higher," reports Zero Hedge.


But isn’t the stock market at all-time highs?

Since the third quarter of 2015, the total earnings of the SPX companies have dropped during every subsequent quarter, yet the stock market has reached all-time highs.

Not only this, the current valuations of the SPX are second only to the "lofty" valuations of 1999, which ended with the bursting of the "dotcom bubble". Nonetheless, the stock markets continue to trade higher in 2016, but for how long?

These days there is a big disconnect between the real economy and the stock markets. The best example of this is the Venezuelan stock markets. Though the people there do not have food, there is rampant hyperinflation and there is unrest among its’ citizens, yet, the stock market went up 10 times between 2012 and 2016:

Venezuela Market Ondex

Hence, the investors should be wary of the stock markets rise. The markets will not allow an opportunity to exit in a proper manner, a sample was the fall during the first two months of this year.


Precious Metals' Powerful Rally Begins!

Smart investors are recognizing this opportunity, which has led to a rise in both gold and silver prices and purchases, as shown in the chart below. Both are among the top four performers this year.

YTD Commodity Performance Leaders


The debt has become unmanageable, it’s on the verge of explosion!

The total debt of the United States has reached gigantic proportions. It has seen an increase by a factor of 14 since 1980 as shown in the chart below. On the other hand, the GDP of the US has only increased by a factor of 6.2.

Total Debt

Such a mind-boggling debt cannot be repaid ever. "Nobody is prepared to accept that we might have to wipe out decades of growth just to eliminate leverage. Banks go, there are defaults, bankruptcies, layoffs," said Viktor Shvets, the global strategist of the investment bank Macquarie Group, reports Zero Hedge.


Gold and Silver will be the only saviors:

This is what I have been warning our readers, that all this excess will lead to a "Great Reset", which will be a period of great turmoil and the only ‘asset class’ that will help you survive the onslaught are the precious metals.

"If you think of gold, the only way gold loses is if normal business and private sector cycles come back. If that is the case, gold goes back $100 per ounce. The other outcomes: deflation, stagflation, hyperinflation are all good for gold," said Shvets.


Attempts to move away from the dollar standard:

There are talks of moving away from the dollar as the global currency of the world. An option being explored is setting up a global currency, which will be a derivative of the five international currencies, the dollar, euro, pound, yen and the yuan.

Nevertheless, this experiment is likely to fail even before it starts, because, not only are these highly flawed currencies, the Central Banks of these countries also own the largest money printing machines in the world.

So what is left?

A return to the gold standard in some way may be possible solution, because it renders the Central Banks jobless. Nevertheless, Shivets points that the gold standard is likely to come after a war and not before that.


Conclusion:

It is possible to forecast the timing of the stock market crash and the next financial crisis, due to our "Cycle Analysis" and "Predictive Analytics". I have been warning that the stock market will top out and eventually the large cap stocks will roll over. There is a huge amount of manipulation by the FED. However, as investors, we can be ready for any eventuality by investing wisely in both gold and silver which has worked well for our long term portfolio the past year and soon enough having a net short position on the stock market will be an incredible opportunity for those who embrace the collapse.

Every crisis also brings an opportunity with it, hence, lets’ make the best use of the opportunity before the price of gold and silver blows through the roof. It is better to invest now and see our investments multiply, instead of waiting for the crisis to start, as, by then, more than half of the rally would be behind us.

 


Get my next article and analysis by visiting www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment