• 503 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 503 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 505 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 905 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 910 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 912 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 915 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 915 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 916 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 918 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 918 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 922 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 922 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 923 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 925 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 926 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 929 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 930 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 930 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 932 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

What's Behind The Global EV Sales Slowdown?

An economic slowdown in many…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Season of Falling Prices and Percent Index Proves It!

It's a known fact that Sept and October are typically weak times for US stocks. Going back 37 years shows us the tendency for investors to sell and rebalance their portfolios to try and perform better during the final quarter.

But that's not really the point of this article. The chart below shows a comparison between the SP500 bullish percent index and the SP500 index.


What is a bullish percent index?

in short, it's based on point-and-figure charts and is one of the oldest and simplest stock charting tools to help identify the overall market strength or weakness. This index shows us how many stocks have generated a buy signal within the group of stocks its tracks.


Bullish Percent Index Proves Market Is Weakening:

The chart below shows the bullish percent index at the top and the SP500 at the bottom. I think the charts paint a clear picture of what is taking place. Currently the BPI is trending lower and picking up speed, while the SP500 index has been rising. This means fewer and fewer stocks are holding the stock market up and this typically ends with a sharp market correction. The last time we saw this was in June.

In fact, the drop in gold miners of 10% on Tuesday and the pullback in the SP500 I talked about it happening the day prior in a conversation with Kerry Lutz and also shared what we should expect next.

S&P500 Bullish Percent Index 2-Hour Chart


The Time of Year Stocks Correct:

Below is the seasonal chart of the SP500 taking into account all monthly price movements over a 37 year period. September is usually weak which it close lower for the month and so is October.

S&P500 Seasonality


Concluding Thoughts:

In short, stocks are under pressure for the month of October. I expect increased volatility, and large intraday price swings to be more of the norm.

 


Stay tuned for my next update on the crashing metals and gold miners report next, and be sure to follow my trades at: www.TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment