Asha Bangalore

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Stop the Presses - Discouraged Workers NOT THE REASON for decline in March Unemployment Rate

  Published 06 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

  Civilian Unemployment Rate: 8.2% in March, down one notch from February. Cycle high jobless rate for the recent recession is 10.0%, registered in October 2009.…

• Fed 'Twisting' Will Stimulate Economic Activity - for Bond Traders

  Published 09 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The consensus view is that after adjourning from its September 20-21 meeting the FOMC will announce a plan to lengthen the maturity structure of its…

• Continued Sluggish Economic Growth Expected Through 2012

  Published 21 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

  With this commentary, we unveil our first formal forecast of U.S. economic activity and interest rates for 2012. The forecast for real GDP growth is…

• Economy Brakes Even Before Fed Takes Its Foot Off the Accelerator

  Published 09 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

  In our April 28 update, we emphasized that our forecast was in "transition" from stronger to weaker in large part depending on the behavior of…

• To QE or Not to QE? That is the Question

  Published 25 March 2011 | viewed 0 times

  At its March 15 meeting, the FOMC decided to continue with its program of quantitative easing, which would result in a net increase of $600…

• Don't Know Much...

  Published 23 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  "Don't Know Much about Geography, Don't Know Much Trigonometry, But Sarah Palin Does Know Her Monetary Policy" With apologies to Sam Cooke, Lou Adler and…

• QE2 Is Likely to More Successful than QE1

  Published 04 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

  On November 3, the FOMC announced that it would increase the quantity of its outright holdings of securities by a net $600 billion by the…

• Ten Questions: USA vs. Japan

  Published 15 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The U.S. economy has been out of the intensive care unit for several months. However, discussions are underway as to whether artificial support may be…

• Bank Credit - One Month Does Not Make a Trend, But ...

  Published 17 August 2010 | viewed 0 times

  In July, for only the second time in the past 21 months, U.S. commercial bank total credit (loans and securities) increased (see Chart 1). And…

• July Employment Situation - Lackluster Private Sector Job Growth Once Again

  Published 06 August 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Civilian Unemployment Rate: 9.5% in July, no change from June's reading. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in December 2007 when the recession commenced. Cycle high…

• Greece, Portugal and Spain Are the Least of Our Economic/Financial Challenges

  Published 26 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  After hitting a cycle high of 1217.28 on April 23, 2010, the S&P 500 stock market index fell by 10.65% in the following 20 trading…

• 'Green Shoots' in Labor Market Begin to Lay the Foundation for Sustained Growth

  Published 07 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Civilian Unemployment Rate: 9.9% in April vs. 9.7% in each of the first three months of the first quarter. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in…

• It's Been A While

  Published 16 April 2010 | viewed 0 times

  It has been a while since we last wrote an economic and interest rate update - February 22, to be exact. There are two reasons…

• I Am Worried about the Government Debt My Descendants Will Inherit

  Published 23 February 2010 | viewed 1,864 times

  This is a common concern I hear from seniors and even some enlightened baby boomers. (Yes, Virginia, there actually are some enlightened baby boomers!) Is…

• Not So Fast!

  Published 22 February 2010 | viewed 2,721 times

  Not so fast for the economy, for inflation and, therefore, for Fed tightening. The Commerce Department's first guess at Q4:2009 real GDP growth of 5.7%…

• If M Does Not Pick Up, Will V Save Us?

  Published 25 January 2010 | viewed 2,652 times

  Before we get started, let's get the forecast update out of the way. With the release of November business inventories data, we have revised up…

• Q4:2009 May Be as Good as It Gets Until Q4:2010

  Published 19 December 2009 | viewed 2,704 times

  Largely because of some recently-released economic reports, we have bumped up our real GDP forecast significantly for Q4:2009 and much less so for all of…

• Accumulated Musings

  Published 16 November 2009 | viewed 2,355 times

  I travel for business purposes a lot these days. Moreover, the battery life on my laptop is limited. As a result, at least these are…

• Inflation and Deficits - What Might Milton Friedman Have to Say?

  Published 16 October 2009 | viewed 3,099 times

  Before getting started on this month's essay, I would like to say something about last month's chart show. I received a number of favorable comments…

• Will the Fall Economic "Holiday Celebrations" Come Early this Year?

  Published 14 August 2009 | viewed 2,978 times

  We had been expecting that real economic growth would emerge in the fourth quarter of this year, coinciding with the celebrations of the Thanksgiving and…