Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Bulls' Margin Of Error Razor Thin

  Published 07 October 2013 | viewed 0 times

  President Has Not Budged The financial markets have been treading water for weeks hoping the political process will bear something resembling fruit. Monday stayed on…

• Are Politicians Pushing Their Luck With The Stock Market?

  Published 03 October 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Political Bickering Continues The futures were tame this morning until the U.S. Treasury issued a statement warning of "a large, adverse, and persistent financial shock"…

• Four Reasons To Respect The Bearish Case

  Published 02 October 2013 | viewed 0 times

  The Glass Half Empty Quad: The Fed will phase out QE Waning bullish conviction Deflationary forces Tepid global growth Bullish Case Has Been Covered Regular…

• Market Fear: 2013 vs. U.S. Downgrade and Fiscal Cliff

  Published 01 October 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Blame Game Begins Were gains in stocks all that surprising on the first day of a government shutdown? Somewhat, but we noted Monday the markets…

• Are The Markets Looking Past The Budget Battle?

  Published 30 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Stronger Than Expected Before giving in to some late day selling, the stock market was holding up relatively well Monday given the negative drag from…

• Is A 2011 Like Plunge In Stocks Coming Next Week?

  Published 27 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Worst Week Since 2008 Financial Crisis Below is a quick refresher course on the 2011 events that led to the "most volatile week in stocks…

• Is The Market Tipping A Bearish Hand?

  Published 26 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Bears Have Allies In Washington Markets hate uncertainty. Washington loves to create uncertainty since it provides leverage in political negotiations. From Bloomberg: The Senate likely…

• Will The D.C. Standoff Derail The Bulls?

  Published 23 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Never A Dull Moment You can say a lot of things about working in the money management business, but you cannot include the words dull…

• What Are The Markets Telling Us About Risk?

  Published 20 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Fed Brings Uncertainty Just two short days ago the Fed told us the economic data did not justify tapering their monthly bond purchases. The stock…

• Evidence Said Be Bullish Before Fed - Still Does

  Published 19 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Fed Does Unexpected, But Was It Really A Surprise? Below is Bloomberg's summary of Wednesday's highly anticipated Fed policy statement: Ben S. Bernanke reinforced his…

• The Perfect Fed Statement For Stock Market Bulls

  Published 18 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  The Bullish Trifecta Fed Statement Reduce monthly bond purchases by $10B. Future tapering decisions will be data dependent. Pledge to keep interest rates low for…

• Fed Meeting: Two Key Questions For Stock Bulls

  Published 17 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Market's Next Move Hangs In The Balance With Larry Summers out of the picture, the financial markets are facing two key questions: What does Janet…

• Ding Dong The Summers Witch Is Dead

  Published 16 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Democrats Objected Strongly Many hypothesized the financial markets were less than thrilled about the possibility of a Fed led by Larry Summers. The reaction in…

• Tapering and Larry Summers: Bulls' Death Knell?

  Published 15 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  A Fed Chairman Named Larry? President Obama has referenced numerous times the need to avoid what he called "artificial bubbles", which led to our hypothesis…

• Fed Tapering Announcement Should Not Surprise Markets

  Published 12 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Living Under A Rock The Fed has been telegraphing "tapering " to the markets since late May, or for over four months. Unless you live…

• Can Emerging Markets Give Bulls New Life?

  Published 11 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Emerging Markets Have A Pulse The best investments have positive technicals and positive fundamentals. How long the emerging trend in the China ETF (FXI) lasts…

• Bullish Tests Coming From Fed and Technicals

  Published 10 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Progress, But Not Out Of Woods Yet The financial markets continued to rise early Tuesday afternoon based on a carryover from Monday's news regarding Syria…

• Fed's Tough Sell: Printing vs. Pledging

  Published 09 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Understanding QE Quantitative Easing (QE) involves pumping freshly printed electronic dollars into the hands of the Fed's primary dealers in exchange for bonds. A bond…

• Flexible Migration Strategy

  Published 04 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Investors Flee Bond Fund When the world's largest bond fund sees over $7 billion in net outflows, it tells us the tide may have turned…

• Is Gold's Bullish Turn Sustainable?

  Published 03 September 2013 | viewed 0 times

  Gold has been outperforming both stocks and long-dated Treasuries in recent weeks. Below are four possible scenarios for the yellow metal looking out several weeks:…