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Chris Ciovacco

Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC.

  • The Reverse Wealth Effect

    Published 09 June 2008 | viewed 2,864 times

    In our current global economic environment, the number of moving parts for the individual investor to track and attempt to analyze is often overwhelming. Without…

  • Economic Realities Continue to Favor Inflation

    Published 27 May 2008 | viewed 2,075 times

    Prior to the holiday weekend the markets learned the median price for existing home sales declined 8% from the year-earlier period. More concerning was the…

  • Technicals and Fundamentals Remain Weak

    Published 26 March 2008 | viewed 2,391 times

    While there is no question stocks are trying to form what market technicians call a double bottom, not much has really changed in recent weeks…

  • Technical Breakdowns May Call For More Hedging

    Published 12 February 2008 | viewed 2,695 times

    "I think the necessity of being ready increases." ~ Abraham Lincoln Based on recent technical breakdowns in many risk-based investments (see Graph 1), the probability…

  • 2008 Asset Class Outlook

    Published 16 January 2008 | viewed 5,289 times

    January 2008 2008 Off To Rocky Start As we all know, asset markets do not like uncertainty. With SIVs (structured investment vehicles) and countless shaky…

  • The Future of Investing: The National Debt, Social Security, and Medicare All Point Toward More Inflation

    Published 14 January 2008 | viewed 4,442 times

    As volatility increases in 2008, it will be important for us to continue to focus on the most important fundamental drivers of asset prices. If…

  • Not Yet Time To Throw In The Towel

    Published 20 December 2007 | viewed 3,412 times

    "He who sees the action that is in inaction is wise indeed." Bhagavad Gita (6th Century B.C.) With more bad news surfacing almost daily on…

  • 1981 or 1998: Stock Market Behavior Following Consecutive Fed Rate Cuts

    Published 01 November 2007 | viewed 4,375 times

    With the Federal Reserve cutting rates two times in the last six weeks, investors are considering both sides of the stock market coin: HEADS: Should…

  • Lower Rates and the Relative Performance of Investments

    Published 05 October 2007 | viewed 2,320 times

    To recap the main points above: Wall Street places a strong emphasis on the impact of the Fed's actions on asset prices. Lower interest rates…

  • Asset Class Behavior Following Fed Rate Cuts

    Published 01 October 2007 | viewed 3,747 times

    "The dollar has been sliding since the Fed last week cut interest rates by a larger-than-expected half percentage point. Since then, disappointing U.S. economic data…

  • Stock Market Behavior Following Fed Rate Cuts

    Published 19 September 2007 | viewed 4,135 times

    "Developments in financial markets since the Committee's last regular meeting have increased the uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook. The Committee will continue to assess the…

  • Yields May Not Be A Threat Yet

    Published 15 June 2007 | viewed 2,548 times

    With the rising yield of the 10-year Treasury note spooking the markets, it may be worth a historical look vs. the S&P 500. The chart…

  • Asset Class Outlook Favors The Bulls

    Published 01 June 2007 | viewed 3,029 times

    "The bull market is going to go on forever. Unless of course, it doesn't. Often in economics, things that ought to go on forever, such…

  • An All-Weather Portfolio Using Multiple Asset Classes

    Published 08 March 2007 | viewed 3,431 times

    "Watch the costs and the profits will take care of themselves." Andrew Carnegie (1835-1919) This article is part of a continuing series on asset allocation,…

  • Upgrading Your Asset Allocation In 2007

    Published 05 January 2007 | viewed 4,892 times

    "A complacent satisfaction with present knowledge is the chief bar to the pursuit of knowledge" B.H. Liddell Hart (1895-1970) As mentioned in last week's article,…

  • Are You Really Diversified?

    Published 29 December 2006 | viewed 3,508 times

    "False" Diversification May Prove Costly In 2007 "Every great mistake has a halfway moment, a split second when it can be recalled and perhaps remedied."…

  • Friday's Employment Report: Reaction May Be Telling

    Published 06 December 2006 | viewed 3,489 times

    ADP Report Points To Stronger Than Expected Employment Reading On Friday Morning "NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The dollar rose against other major currencies after a…

  • FED Speak: Bark, No Bite

    Published 17 November 2006 | viewed 2,413 times

    Use Some Common Sense When Listening To Fed's Comments "Members agreed that the statement to be released after the meeting should continue to convey that…

  • The U.S. Dollar vs. Gold: You Should Care

    Published 02 November 2006 | viewed 13,500 times

    As the chart below shows, the money supply in the United States has increased dramatically since 1994. Increasing or "inflating" the money supply helps create…

  • A Soft or Hard Landing?

    Published 23 October 2006 | viewed 5,402 times

    Is The Stock Market Right? - Current Environment The bond market and the stock market have been at odds in recent weeks. With the recent…