Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Will The Fed Bail Out The Bulls This Week?

  Published 25 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

  Fed Statement Wednesday Heading into this week's FOMC meeting, the Fed has been unable to convince skeptical markets about the prospect of multiple rate hikes…

• Countertrend Moves: A Normal Part Of All Trends

  Published 20 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

  100% Normal And To Be Expected In this week's video we noted that markets would be easy if they went up every day during a…

• Three Important Levels For Bulls And Bears

  Published 19 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

  S&P 500: The Glass Half Empty The S&P 500 has already violated the blue trendline below and retested the line below the orange arrow. If…

• Do The Bulls Have Any Reason For Hope?

  Published 12 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

  Flexibility: An Ally In Markets We recently outlined numerous concerns about the sustainability of the current bull market in stocks. Experience tells us that thinking…

• Is The Bull Market On The Ropes?

  Published 11 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

  Ominous Start In 2016 If last week felt like an odd start to a new trading year, there was a good reason; it was odd.…

• Bonds May Be Key Bear Market Tell

  Published 06 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

  Since maximum fear in the financial markets tends to create demand for safer-haven bonds, the chart of long-term Treasuries (TLT) should be helpful from a…

• 2015: A Very Odd Year In The Markets

  Published 04 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

  The Dow Jones Industrial Average was first calculated on May 26, 1896. Therefore the index has been around for over 119 years. With the Federal…

• After Similar Points In 2001/2008, Stocks Dropped Over 45%

  Published 28 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Charts Help Us With Fundamental Perceptions A properly conducted poll can help us better understand the net aggregate opinion of a general population. Using similar…

• Stock Market Breadth: Updated 2011 vs. 2015 Stats

  Published 16 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

  2015 Breadth Versus 2010 and 2011 This post contains updated breadth stats of Tuesday, December 15, 2015. Market breadth speaks to the percentage of stocks…

• Is The VIX Screaming Stocks Are In Big Trouble?

  Published 14 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Fed Brings High Anxiety During the past several weeks, we have read numerous accounts of "we are reducing risk before the Fed", which has a…

• Stock Market Breadth: Is It Really That Bad?

  Published 07 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

  2015 Breadth Versus 2007, 2008, 2010, and 2011 Market breadth speaks to the percentage of stocks participating in a stock market rally. All things being…

• Stocks ROC - This Has Only Occurred Six Other Times Since 1983

  Published 03 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Based on the title containing "only six other times", you may have questions about small sample sizes; that topic is addressed in detail later in…

• Market Is Providing Insight Into Fed Rate Hike Now

  Published 30 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Want To Know The Weather? One of the easiest ways to understand the weather is to look out the window. With the market assigning an…

• Myth: Stocks Are In Trouble When Commodities Tank

  Published 26 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  What Does History Say About Weak Commodities And Bull Markets? You have probably heard the following argument somewhere in recent weeks: Weakness in commodities, especially…

• SP500: Guideposts Nearby On Multiple Timeframes

  Published 24 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Prove It To Me Market As we outlined in a November 20 video clip, the "return to the year of the whipsaw" action in the…

• What Does History Say About The First Rate Hike And Stocks?

  Published 24 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Similar Periods From Interest Rate Cycle Perspective Based on 30-day Fed fund futures prices, the CME Group estimates a 74% probability the Fed will raise…

• Is The SP500's 200-Day Providing Some Insight?

  Published 10 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Long-Term Trend The S&P 500's 200-day moving average is commonly used to track long-term trends. All things being equal, the stock market bulls prefer the…

• Will A Lagging RSP/Weak Breadth Kill The Stock Rally?

  Published 05 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Concern Or Showstopper? The S&P 500 is a capitalization-weighted index, meaning larger companies carry a larger percentage weighting. An equal-weighted S&P 500 Index (RSP) looks…

• How Concerning Is The Rapid Push Above SP500's 50-Day?

  Published 04 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Valid Concern About Market's Rapid Ascent The following logical question was posed on Twitter this morning: The short answer is "yes, it is a relevant…

• Major Indexes Testing Important Levels

  Published 02 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Monthly Labor Report All eyes will be on this week's monthly labor report. The report, which is due Friday at 8:30 am ET, may impact…