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Chris Ciovacco

Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC.

  • Will The Fed Bail Out The Bulls This Week?

    Published 25 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Fed Statement Wednesday Heading into this week's FOMC meeting, the Fed has been unable to convince skeptical markets about the prospect of multiple rate hikes…

  • Countertrend Moves: A Normal Part Of All Trends

    Published 20 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

    100% Normal And To Be Expected In this week's video we noted that markets would be easy if they went up every day during a…

  • Three Important Levels For Bulls And Bears

    Published 19 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

    S&P 500: The Glass Half Empty The S&P 500 has already violated the blue trendline below and retested the line below the orange arrow. If…

  • Do The Bulls Have Any Reason For Hope?

    Published 12 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Flexibility: An Ally In Markets We recently outlined numerous concerns about the sustainability of the current bull market in stocks. Experience tells us that thinking…

  • Is The Bull Market On The Ropes?

    Published 11 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Ominous Start In 2016 If last week felt like an odd start to a new trading year, there was a good reason; it was odd.…

  • Bonds May Be Key Bear Market Tell

    Published 06 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Since maximum fear in the financial markets tends to create demand for safer-haven bonds, the chart of long-term Treasuries (TLT) should be helpful from a…

  • 2015: A Very Odd Year In The Markets

    Published 04 January 2016 | viewed 0 times

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average was first calculated on May 26, 1896. Therefore the index has been around for over 119 years. With the Federal…

  • After Similar Points In 2001/2008, Stocks Dropped Over 45%

    Published 28 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Charts Help Us With Fundamental Perceptions A properly conducted poll can help us better understand the net aggregate opinion of a general population. Using similar…

  • Stock Market Breadth: Updated 2011 vs. 2015 Stats

    Published 16 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

    2015 Breadth Versus 2010 and 2011 This post contains updated breadth stats of Tuesday, December 15, 2015. Market breadth speaks to the percentage of stocks…

  • Is The VIX Screaming Stocks Are In Big Trouble?

    Published 14 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Fed Brings High Anxiety During the past several weeks, we have read numerous accounts of "we are reducing risk before the Fed", which has a…

  • Stock Market Breadth: Is It Really That Bad?

    Published 07 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

    2015 Breadth Versus 2007, 2008, 2010, and 2011 Market breadth speaks to the percentage of stocks participating in a stock market rally. All things being…

  • Stocks ROC - This Has Only Occurred Six Other Times Since 1983

    Published 03 December 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Based on the title containing "only six other times", you may have questions about small sample sizes; that topic is addressed in detail later in…

  • Market Is Providing Insight Into Fed Rate Hike Now

    Published 30 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Want To Know The Weather? One of the easiest ways to understand the weather is to look out the window. With the market assigning an…

  • Myth: Stocks Are In Trouble When Commodities Tank

    Published 26 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    What Does History Say About Weak Commodities And Bull Markets? You have probably heard the following argument somewhere in recent weeks: Weakness in commodities, especially…

  • SP500: Guideposts Nearby On Multiple Timeframes

    Published 24 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Prove It To Me Market As we outlined in a November 20 video clip, the "return to the year of the whipsaw" action in the…

  • What Does History Say About The First Rate Hike And Stocks?

    Published 24 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Similar Periods From Interest Rate Cycle Perspective Based on 30-day Fed fund futures prices, the CME Group estimates a 74% probability the Fed will raise…

  • Is The SP500's 200-Day Providing Some Insight?

    Published 10 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Long-Term Trend The S&P 500's 200-day moving average is commonly used to track long-term trends. All things being equal, the stock market bulls prefer the…

  • Will A Lagging RSP/Weak Breadth Kill The Stock Rally?

    Published 05 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Concern Or Showstopper? The S&P 500 is a capitalization-weighted index, meaning larger companies carry a larger percentage weighting. An equal-weighted S&P 500 Index (RSP) looks…

  • How Concerning Is The Rapid Push Above SP500's 50-Day?

    Published 04 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Valid Concern About Market's Rapid Ascent The following logical question was posed on Twitter this morning: The short answer is "yes, it is a relevant…

  • Major Indexes Testing Important Levels

    Published 02 November 2015 | viewed 0 times

    Monthly Labor Report All eyes will be on this week's monthly labor report. The report, which is due Friday at 8:30 am ET, may impact…