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Doug Noland

Doug Noland

Prudent Bear

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

  • Monetary Policy and the Character of Lending

    Published 19 April 2002 | viewed 3,742 times

    There was certainly no let up in stock market volatility this week, as global financial markets continue in their especially unsettled states. For the week,…

  • Lies, Damn Lies, and 'Analysis'

    Published 12 April 2002 | viewed 3,406 times

    Wow, that was one week of wild volatility, interesting divergences, and major crosscurrents. For the week, the NASDAQ Telecommunications index dropped 5%, while the small…

  • Pondering Imponderables

    Published 05 April 2002 | viewed 3,124 times

    The specter of war in the Middle East and recognition that corporate profits will remain under pressure weighed on stocks this week. For the week,…

  • Terminal Stage of Mortgage Finance Excess?

    Published 29 March 2002 | viewed 3,897 times

    While the major indices moved around considerably, they generally ended the holiday-shortened week little changed. For the week, the Dow, S&P500, Utilities, and Morgan Stanley…

  • The Diamond Anniversary of Monetary Disorder

    Published 22 March 2002 | viewed 3,483 times

    It was a less than impressive performance for U.S. financial markets. For the week, the Dow dropped 2% and the S&P500 declined 1%. Economically sensitive…

  • Random Thoughts

    Published 15 March 2002 | viewed 3,385 times

    Despite acutely unsettled financial markets, the Dow and S&P500 ended the week with fractional gains. The Transports dropped 2% and the Utilities declined 1%. The…

  • Market Dislocations

    Published 08 March 2002 | viewed 3,018 times

    Markets turned chaotic this week. We certainly see this as the beginning of what could be a very problematic dislocation throughout the financial markets, although…

  • The Credit Bubble Bulletin

    Published 01 March 2002 | viewed 3,571 times

    Doug Noland is on vacation this week We May Be Wrong, But Won't Say So Yet by Edmund M. McCarthy Edmund M. McCarthy is President…

  • The Clan of Seven

    Published 22 February 2002 | viewed 3,907 times

    From today's Wall Street Journal: "The Federal Reserve Bank of New York is examining J.P. Morgan Chase's accounting for commodity-related trades with Enron Corp., according…

  • Money, Monetary Policy and the Structure of Debt

    Published 15 February 2002 | viewed 4,358 times

    It was just another "typical" volatile week. For the week, the Dow added 2%, while the S&P500 and Transports gained 1%. Economically sensitive issues (with…

  • The Fun is Gone From the Game of Risk

    Published 08 February 2002 | viewed 4,144 times

    It was another wild one, with heightened fears of company financing problems creating a most unsettled market environment. Despite today's big rally, the Dow and…

  • Partnoy on Plastic Surgery and Lemonade Stands

    Published 01 February 2002 | viewed 4,285 times

    As accounting issues and the health of the U.S. financial system took center stage this week, the wild volatility affliction made its way to financial…

  • Experiment on Top of Experiment

    Published 25 January 2002 | viewed 3,632 times

    Early week selling switched to buying, as the Dow and S&P500 ended the week up less than 1%. Economically sensitive issues shined, with the Transports…

  • The Consumer Bubble

    Published 18 January 2002 | viewed 4,790 times

    The reality of a protracted earnings recession took its toll on U.S. stock prices. For the week, the Dow and S&P500 declined about 2%. The…

  • Harry E. Miller

    Published 11 January 2002 | viewed 3,965 times

    It almost appears as if a bit of reality is returning to the stock market, as difficult as that may be to believe after the…

  • Issues 2002

    Published 04 January 2002 | viewed 3,161 times

    Wasting no time to begin the New Year, stock prices burst out of the starting blocks for what will certainly be another wild ride during…

  • Financial Arbitrage Capitalism

    Published 28 December 2001 | viewed 4,767 times

    The year ended with uncustomary relative quiet. For the week, the Dow, S&P500, and Transports gained 1%. The Morgan Stanley Cyclical index added 3%, increasing…

  • A Tangled Web We Weave

    Published 21 December 2001 | viewed 4,679 times

    It was another week of unsettled global equity, fixed-income and currency markets, with Argentina falling into acute financial, economic, and political crisis. For the week,…

  • The 'Widow's Curse Myth' or Reality?

    Published 14 December 2001 | viewed 4,875 times

    Ominous storm clouds darkened in the U.S. this week, as a faltering equity market and weakening dollar joined a troubled Credit market. Globally, there was…

  • Ultimate Discretionary Power of Monetary Policy

    Published 07 December 2001 | viewed 3,760 times

    It was, once again, an extraordinarily unsettled week in the financial markets, with interest rates and equity prices moving sharply higher. For the week, the…