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Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

Biography

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com, a real-time diary of his technical analysis and trading alerts on ETFs covering metals, energy, equity indices, currencies, Treasuries, and specific industries and international regions.

  • Bulls Remain in Near-term Control

    Published 27 March 2009 | viewed 3,834 times

    As the week closes, let's take a look at the BIG picture of the weekly cash S&P 500. Let's notice that earlier this week the…

  • More Weakness Likely for SP 500

    Published 20 March 2009 | viewed 5,055 times

    The S&P 500 had an interesting week. In the aftermath of the FOMC announcement on Wednesday, the SPX climbed to 803.24 to make new recovery…

  • Long the Semis

    Published 27 February 2009 | viewed 4,017 times

    Interesting day on Friday. When the dust settled, the Dow and the SPX were on their lows, while the NDX showed relative resillience. Meanwhile, the…

  • New Major Upleg for UltraShort Dow

    Published 14 February 2009 | viewed 5,345 times

    Regardless of whatever carrot stick the Administration or Congress dangles in front of the equity market, my work continue to warn me that since the…

  • Awaiting the Peak in the Countertrend UpMove

    Published 07 February 2009 | viewed 4,598 times

    If nothing else, then the next few days will make or break the current upmove in the equity market. Either the advance will feed on…

  • Gold and Euro on the Rise

    Published 23 January 2009 | viewed 4,254 times

    Incredible that the (cash) equity indices closed slightly positive on the session on Friday after a very ugly overnight session. Most glaring from my perspective…

  • Upward Pressure on Silver

    Published 10 January 2009 | viewed 3,881 times

    Both the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) and the iShares Silver ETF (AMEX: SLV) reversed to the upside Friday morning after getting hammered during the…

  • Agribusiness ETF Should See Upside Continuation

    Published 02 January 2009 | viewed 3,575 times

    One sector that I continue to follow closely is agribusiness, which technically argues for upside continuation from a base-like pattern structure that has developed since…

  • Extreme Technical Levels Point to Equities, Oil Snapback

    Published 19 December 2008 | viewed 5,368 times

    As we speak, the VIX is trading BELOW its 11/04 low at 44.25, which COULD imply that the e-SPH (890.25) and S&P 500, including the…

  • Playing Dollar Weakness and Silver Strength

    Published 12 December 2008 | viewed 4,321 times

    The seven-week sideways coil pattern in the daily chart of the Euro/$ resolved itself to the upside earlier this week. The ability of the Euro/$…

  • Falling Bonds, TLTs; Rising Equities, SPYs

    Published 06 December 2008 | viewed 3,972 times

    Last week we wrote about the Lehman 20+ Year T-Bond ETF (AMEX: TLT) as an indicator of flight to safety, which we believed was starting…

  • Treasury Bull on Borrowed Time

    Published 28 November 2008 | viewed 4,380 times

    I must confess that the pattern in the bond market is a bit surprising. Yield on the 30-year T-bond fell to a low of 3.48%…

  • From Sell the Rallies to Buy the Pullbacks?

    Published 22 November 2008 | viewed 5,471 times

    Friday's low in the S&P 500 at 741.02 tested the monthly trendline going back to October 1987, after breaking the October 2002 low at 768.60.…

  • Gold Mining Stocks, ETF, Outperforming Market

    Published 14 November 2008 | viewed 4,076 times

    I have been watching the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) closely since its October low at 15.74 and I am very impressed with…

  • Long-Term Projections Not Pretty

    Published 26 October 2008 | viewed 6,211 times

    The enclosed weekly chart of the DJIA has the look of unfinished business on the downside prior to completing the decline off of the October…

  • Capitulation Low?

    Published 11 October 2008 | viewed 6,070 times

    The most salient aspect of the weekly chart of the S&P 500 is that despite the fact that the index closed 60 points off of…

  • Long Into Next Week

    Published 21 September 2008 | viewed 5,106 times

    After what appeared to be a crash in September, and a BIG SAVE by the Govt, everyone will be "happy and long" into the end…

  • Acute Risks!!

    Published 15 September 2008 | viewed 6,018 times

    Tuesday likely will be another pivotal day for equities, with Goldman Sachs earnings due out before the opening bell, and at 2:15 PM ET, the…

  • Two Bullish ETFs

    Published 06 September 2008 | viewed 4,665 times

    Although the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) action may not feel like it is at or very near to a significant low, the pattern…

  • Equities Soar, Oil Slides

    Published 09 August 2008 | viewed 3,238 times

    Equities are on a roll. Looking at the Nasdaq through the daily chart of the Nasdaq 100 Trust Shares (QQQQ), we see that the Q's…