Tom Madell

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Buy, Sell, or Hold? Data Derived Signals Can Improve Investor Success

  Published 02 December 2009 | viewed 3,024 times

  In an Aug. 2008 article on SafeHaven.com, we presented data going back as early as Apr. 1990 on what our research showed was a promising…

• Look at What Many Fund Investors Are Doing (And Do the Opposite)

  Published 01 November 2009 | viewed 4,654 times

  Summary: For investors who rely on their funds' websites (or newspapers) to inform them as to their funds' performance, they may not be getting what…

• Will This Year's Rally in the Stock and Bond Markets Continue?

  Published 01 September 2009 | viewed 3,626 times

  Over the last nearly 11 months, the stock market has shown a "V" shaped performance. Specifically, between early Oct. '08 and early March of this…

• A Time-Tested Investment Approach

  Published 02 August 2009 | viewed 3,282 times

  Finding meaningful success from investing in stock mutual funds these days seems a little like recent reminiscing about astronauts landing on the moon: it's something…

• Stocks vs. Bonds Going Forward

  Published 01 August 2009 | viewed 3,309 times

  If we had to venture a guess at this particular juncture as to where the stock market is headed, we would break down our guess…

• Investment Lessons From The Recent Past

  Published 01 July 2009 | viewed 3,032 times

  Summary: Most investors have learned to make certain assumptions. In this article, I will present a chronology of events over the last few years which…

• Volatility? It's Even More Than You Might Think

  Published 01 June 2009 | viewed 3,732 times

  Many investors appear to have reacted with complete surprise and near disbelief to the huge drop in the value of their stock funds between Oct.…

• Overwhelmed By Data? Keeping Investment Decisions Relatively Simple

  Published 03 May 2009 | viewed 3,922 times

  The purpose of my free web publication, Mutual Fund Research Newsletter, which this month marks 10 years since we started publishing, has always been to…

• The Only Certainty: Holding Cash Will Not Be Productive

  Published 02 April 2009 | viewed 4,910 times

  In my last Safe Haven article, I talked about investors' desire to find information that will enable them to correctly decide what to do now,…

• What, If Anything, Can Help Your Portfolio?

  Published 02 March 2009 | viewed 4,819 times

  Summary: Changing one's overall asset allocation to stocks in reaction to newspaper and other media-presented suggestions that things seem to warrent such action are commonplace…

• How Much Faith Should You Place in Stock Market Forecasts?

  Published 01 February 2009 | viewed 4,239 times

  How successful were some of the most well known investment experts in helping their readers avoid the bear market? Let's take a quick look by…

• Stock Investment Strategies In the Deep Freeze

  Published 31 January 2009 | viewed 4,715 times

  No matter whether you are a small or big-time investor, nor what your stock fund strategy, nothing seems to be working. And this has been…

• Risk Continues To Be a Four-Letter Word; You Should Continue to Avoid It

  Published 02 January 2009 | viewed 4,707 times

  There are opportunities out there, an optimist would say. The question is, however, how much added risk are you willing to bear to seize them?…

• Worried About Stocks? This May Be A Blessing in Disguise

  Published 03 November 2008 | viewed 4,983 times

  Summary: Most people are currently worried about the potential for more losses in stocks in the future. However, data presented below show that dire appraisals…

• Making Better Investment Decisions with the Help of Empirical Research (Part II)

  Published 07 August 2008 | viewed 3,555 times

  Summary: In my continuing research on fund investing, I have assembled large amounts of data on mutual fund performance. This data has proven useful in…

• Making Better Investment Decisions with the Help of Empirical Research (Part I)

  Published 15 July 2008 | viewed 2,820 times

  Summary: This article suggests that in order to make good investment decisions, investors can profit by largely basing their actions on solid empirical data. This…

• No Bull? Bonds Can Trounce Stocks (and Beat Cash Too)

  Published 07 April 2008 | viewed 3,412 times

  We have long argued that the great majority of investors under-utilize bond funds. Data suggest that at most only about 10-15% of the average investor's…

• What Does the Current Bout of Rising Inflation Mean for Investors?

  Published 02 March 2008 | viewed 4,118 times

  Some nonsensical things appear to be happening in the US investment markets. For example, - We appear to be close to a recession, if not…

• Warnings Signs of a Bear Market? Mirror Images Between 2000 and 2007

  Published 02 January 2008 | viewed 4,597 times

  It was the 1st quarter of 2000. We were still, for all anyone knew, happily enjoying ourselves within a long-standing bull market. Of course, not…

• Is Investing Like Buying a New Car?

  Published 19 September 2003 | viewed 2,904 times

  Many people may subconsciously think of successful investing as quite a bit like buying a new car. Certainly, there are some similarities. Purchasing a new…