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Markets / Other

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Real Time Recession Indicator

Nov 21, 2011 at 10:25

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) improved month over month. However, the index still remains negative. More importantly, my real time recession indicator, which utilizes the CFNAI data, remains…

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Headline Risk Surrounds Gold and the SP 500

Nov 21, 2011 at 09:46

The current trading environment is one of the most difficult that I can recall in recent memory. Risks abroad regarding the European sovereign debt crisis is keeping market participants on…

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Crude Oil Analysis

Nov 21, 2011 at 09:21

January Crude Oil futures succumbed to selling pressure last week, reaching a high at $103.37 and forming a closing price reversal top. Once confirmed, this pattern often leads to a…

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U.S. Economy: Time is Running Out for Q3!

Nov 21, 2011 at 09:18

My GDP-weighted ISM PMI Employment (manufacturing and non-manufacturing combined) in October bounced to 53.3 after contracting for the first time in 17 months in September and falling to below 50…

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Outlook Still Favors Bearish Outcomes

Nov 21, 2011 at 08:52

Numerous problems are facing investors: The flawed structure of the Eurozone is coming back to haunt global leaders. The markets want the European Central Bank (ECB) to print money, but…

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Russia Ups Ante with Caspian Neighbors by Moving Offshore

Nov 21, 2011 at 08:48

On 16 November in Astrakhan Lukoil president, Vagit Alekperov told journalists that his company will spend over $16 billion over the next decade to develop the country's Caspian offshore Korchagin…

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On the Super Committee

Nov 21, 2011 at 08:35

This week marks the deadline for the so-called congressional Super Committee to meet its goal of cutting a laughably small amount of federal spending over the next decade. In fact…

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Swing Trade Idea, Microsoft

Nov 21, 2011 at 06:04

MSFT: A member highlighted this stock and we concur it looks like it is ready to swing on the next change in risk attitude.

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Syria's Quiet Civil War?

Nov 21, 2011 at 06:02

In Syria, it is estimated that more than 3,500 people have died in anti-government protests, according to the United Nations. Security forces have generally remained loyal to the Assad regime,…

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The 'Fix' Is In

Nov 20, 2011 at 20:53

Both Spanish and Italian 10-year yields are in the 6.25%-6.50% range. Italian bond yields are only that low because of ECB buying last week. Over the weekend, Spain ousted its…

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