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Markets

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Weekly Sentiment Report: The Price Cycle

Feb 02, 2014 at 13:44

We turned bullish 21 weeks ago when investors were extremely bearish on the stock market. This marked the bottom of the current price cycle and the lows of the current…

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Market Turning Points

Feb 02, 2014 at 13:32

SPX is about halfway through an intermediate correction, both in price and in time. After a drop of 80 points it is consolidating in what could be a bearish flag…

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The Continuing Al-Qaeda Threat

Feb 02, 2014 at 12:42

Are there more al-Qaeda groups out there because our policies keep creating new ones?

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Precious Metals Sector New Uptrend - Juniors to Lead the Charge

Feb 02, 2014 at 12:40

The purpose of this article is to paint as complete and accurate a picture as possible of where we stand right now with respect to the outlook for gold and…

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Is February a Risk-On or Risk-Off Trade: Equities or Gold and Bonds

Feb 02, 2014 at 10:35

Recent price action in the stock market has many traders on edge. With the market closing below our key support trend line last week, the market has now technically starting…

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90% Chance For the US Recession to Begin During 2014Q2-2015Q1

Feb 02, 2014 at 10:32

I have developed a methodology of characterizing the business cycle using two financial market indicators, SP500 and US Treasury bond futures. Based on the attached graph I am predicting that…

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Do Floating-Rate Notes (FRNs) Protect Against Inflation?

Feb 02, 2014 at 07:34

Since the Treasury this week auctioned floating-rate notes (FRNs) for the first time, it seems that it is probably the right time for a brief discussion of whether FRNs protect…

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Hyperinflation and Capital Controls

Feb 01, 2014 at 18:44

The US will eventually experience hyperinflation, but 'eventually' could be long after we are all dead. Therefore, rather than making the case that hyperinflation will eventually happen, it is more…

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The State of the States: Post-Bernanke Bellum

Feb 01, 2014 at 14:59

One can almost imagine ex-chairman Bernanke shaking his head in disbelief. (For the record, I cannot conceive of Simple Ben possessing the capacity for what follows, so this is an…

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Likely Dimmed Prospects for a Favorable Year

Feb 01, 2014 at 14:58

Capital preservation is key for any investor. If you are fortunate to have enjoyed above-average investment returns in the past couple of years, take some profits off the table. The…