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Markets

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Floating Exchange Rates: Unworkable and Dishonest

Apr 17, 2012 at 09:15

Milton Friedman was a proponent of so-called "floating" exchange rates between the various irredeemable paper currencies that he promoted as the proper monetary system. Many have noted that the currencies…

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30 Year / 2 Year Yield Curve Forecasting Deflation Event Directly Ahead?

Apr 17, 2012 at 09:06

The 30 year / 2 year Treasury yield curve has been on a steady march higher since 2007. This makes sense since that was the year things started falling apart…

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A Return to the Gold Standard, or Gold Behind Currencies - Part 3/5

Apr 17, 2012 at 08:55

This is the third part of a five part series on how gold will return to the monetary system globally but not in the form of the defunct Gold Standard.

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The Anatomy of Sovereign Default

Apr 17, 2012 at 08:41

The three primary factors that determine the interest rate level a nation must pay to service its debt in the long term are; the currency, inflation and credit risks of…

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Trends in Nonfarm Employment, Civilian Employment, Weekly Unemployment Claims

Apr 17, 2012 at 06:25

Initial unemployment claims have generally been trending lower, but in a very choppy manner. One way to smooth out the weekly claims reports is to use seasonal adjustments. Another way…

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Daily Analysis

Apr 17, 2012 at 06:24

I have a bullish bias for the long-term EWP ...

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Dr. Copper

Apr 16, 2012 at 20:58

It is often stated that copper is the metal with a Ph.D. in economics, and the data for the most part bears this out.

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Monetary Sedition

Apr 16, 2012 at 20:42

Is it really necessary to have a canary in the coal mine when the mine is belching clouds of noxious smoke? Today's Empire Manufacturing Report surprised on the weak side…

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Wag the Dog

Apr 16, 2012 at 20:40

Although they rarely replicate along completely congruent parameters, long term analogs - when properly applied, can be excellent roadmaps for interpreting pivots. Here is the last secular turn the USD…

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QE: Past, Present and Future

Apr 16, 2012 at 20:38

The next round of QE isn't likely to begin until after it becomes obvious to mainstream pundits that US equities have commenced a cyclical bear market and/or that the US…