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Markets

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Technical Market Report

Jun 14, 2008 at 00:00

The market appears to be putting in a bottom that should hold for quite a while... I expect the major indices to be lower on Friday June 19 than they…

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Las Vegas Downturn Gathering Momentum

Jun 14, 2008 at 00:00

On the surface, the Las Vegas economy looks dangerously like a busted flush. As if the housing crisis wasn't bad enough, hotel occupancy is down, visitors are spending less, commercial…

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House Prices, the Wealth Effect and the Cash-in-Hand Effect

Jun 14, 2008 at 00:00

House prices are collapsing, which means that homeowners' equity in their houses is plunging. According to Federal Reserve flow-of-funds data, homeowners' equity dropped by $399 billion quarter-to-quarter in Q1:2008 and…

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Irish "No" Gives European Union a Nasty Headache

Jun 14, 2008 at 00:00

The euro dipped this morning as news broke that Ireland's voters rejected the EU Lisbon Treaty in yesterday's national referendum. Although the Treaty's fate has no direct economic impact on…

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Whip Inflation Now

Jun 14, 2008 at 00:00

Because we have devoted so much of our arable land to corn (in a very misguided policy to turn food into ethanol), we have less for soybeans, which is putting…

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Stage II Predicaments

Jun 14, 2008 at 00:00

The risk that our economy has entered a substantial downturn has actually increased markedly over the past several weeks. Importantly, energy costs have risen significantly to the point of being…

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Merk Economic Calendar: Week Ahead In US Financial Markets (June 16-20 2008)

Jun 13, 2008 at 00:00

The market will observe a healthy amount of macroeconomic data to be released during the upcoming five trading days. The major data that have the capacity to move the market…

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Political Stupidity

Jun 13, 2008 at 00:00

Now, unless you were informed upon entering your sixth year of grammar school at the age of 21 that you'd have to stay back another year, you'll recognize this latest…

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Capitulation Among the Oil Shorts?

Jun 13, 2008 at 00:00

Over the past decade, it has generally been a good time to short oil and buy industrials metals once the ratio between WTI crude oil prices and the Goldman Sachs…

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A Note on the Consumer Price Index

Jun 13, 2008 at 00:00

...With the cost of living always rising, not falling, it's a good job there's so much more money around to help pay for things. Right...?