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Markets

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Import Prices and the Renminbi - Let Sleeping Dogs Lie?

Jun 11, 2005 at 00:00

Thus, a given percentage depreciation of the dollar versus Asian currencies would likely put more upward pressure on import prices and consumer prices than would a depreciation against European Union…

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Q1 2005 "Flow of Funds"

Jun 10, 2005 at 00:00

The Credit Bubble remains in a period of spectacular blow-off excess. First quarter Non-financial Debt increased at a 10.0% seasonally-adjusted annualized (SAA) rate. This was up from the fourth quarter's…

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More Conflicting Data

Jun 09, 2005 at 00:00

Evidence continued to mount that economic growth is intermittent. In April, employers added 274,000 jobs, 100,000 more jobs than economists expected. This was reversed in May when only 78,000 workers…

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Point of Order - Are You Listening?

Jun 11, 2005 at 00:00

This week's proceedings in the halls of Congress have caused us to raise a point of order with Chairman Greenspan. Exactly when WILL you know why the bond market is…

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Is Investing A Crapshoot?

Jun 11, 2005 at 00:00

When markets go sideways for a few weeks, we are tempted to believe that there is no risk. Reinforcing our complacency, economists and gurus espouse that the market is just…

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The Expectations Game

Jun 11, 2005 at 00:00

Coming in at $3 billion less than some had feared, today's release of April's $57 billion trade deficit is being heralded as good news. The fact that the fourth worst…

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XOI and SPX Correlation

Jun 10, 2005 at 00:00

Contrarian investors usually see oil stocks as a great way to ride the secular commodities bull now unfolding. Oil is in huge and growing demand worldwide, large new fields remain…

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Gold - The Weekly Global Perspective

Jun 10, 2005 at 00:00

In the "climate" created by the global macro-economic view, we see strong reactions from the direct influences on gold.

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Conspiracy Theories and Market Tops

Jun 10, 2005 at 00:00

Fast forward to 2005. The new conspiracy theories just happen to be about Real Estate. According to this article, talk of bubbles in housing is a conspiracy by Wall Street…

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A Sign of the End of the Tightening Cycle

Jun 10, 2005 at 00:00

The end of Fed interest rate increases may be in sight. In previous cycles, the end of Fed interest rate hikes has coincided with a local trough of the MZM.…