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Markets

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The Dollar is a Risky Scheme

Mar 13, 2005 at 00:00

The fiat-dollar is a confidence game. No more, no less. At its core, its "value" is based on nothing other than the confidence that it (and the government's ability to…

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A Closer Look at the Flow-of-Fund Data: More Scary Numbers from our Friends Abroad!

Mar 13, 2005 at 00:00

A closer look at the latest Federal Reserve flow-of-funds data reveals some exceptional happenings during last year's fourth quarter, as well as for all of 2004. And it is quite…

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EWP on the DOW & S&P 500

Mar 13, 2005 at 00:00

As soon as the indexes hit new highs all the commentaries and talk sites immediately become positive. This is valid reaction - the indexes are making higher highs and higher…

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Turning Points

Mar 13, 2005 at 00:00

In my last newsletter, I spoke of the SPX short-term trend going to a minimum of 1222. That was the low end of the target zone. It actually reached the…

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Technical Market Report

Mar 12, 2005 at 00:00

You can see how new lows declined quickly after the August bottom. Later, when the market was rallying to new highs during the last week of February and 1st week…

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Money Supply and the Dollar

Mar 13, 2005 at 00:00

The Master Planners continue to throw fresh Dollars at every economic risk. Just print more money. Just add liquidity to the system. Just devalue the Dollar. Our research indicates that…

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Is Ben Bernanke The "Reincarnation" Of Manley Johnson?

Mar 12, 2005 at 00:00

Do you remember Manley Johnson? He was a Fed governor from February 7, 1986 to August 3, 1990. Johnson was the "leader of the pack" of FOMC members - all…

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Q4 2004 "Flow of Funds"

Mar 11, 2005 at 00:00

Our leading Fed officials - individually and as a group - are either misinformed or obfuscating. And especially now with heightened unrest in the bond and currency markets, the marketplace…

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The Riddle of the Nile

Mar 12, 2005 at 00:00

In 1906, Harold Hurst, who was a young civil servant at the time, came to the ancient city of Cairo, Egypt, which was then under British rule. While there, he…

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The Trade Deficit End-Game

Mar 12, 2005 at 00:00

This week we finish with our series on the US trade deficit. When will we see a real problem? What are the likely results from a balancing of global trade?…