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Markets

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Bonds and 'Flation

Sep 21, 2004 at 00:00

Our interpretation is that a secular bear market in bonds commenced in June of 2003 and that last year's initial sharp decline has been followed by a very lengthy consolidation.…

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Are You Interested?

Sep 20, 2004 at 00:00

Clearly what has been driving the stock market the past couple weeks has been lower interest rates. This is not only reflected in the NYSE advance decline line, which is…

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EWP on the DOW & S&P 500

Sep 19, 2004 at 00:00

Last week, for the week, the DOW registered a lower low and a lower high. The high last week is on near exact 0.500*03T3 projection. This is a reasonable position…

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Get Religion With Secular Bears

Sep 20, 2004 at 00:00

What does a secular bear market mean to you? The self-serving Wall Street mantra "Invest for the Long-Term" will not make you any money for 10 more years, even if…

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Turning Points

Sep 19, 2004 at 00:00

Although it appears that little change took place this past week, this is not so! As previously mentioned, this was week 233 from the SPX 2000 top and that could…

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Technical Market Report

Sep 18, 2004 at 00:00

Seasonally next week is a bad one. The S&P 500 (SPX) has been up only 19% of the time in the past 15 years while the R2K has been up…

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Financial Markets Forecast and Analysis

Sep 19, 2004 at 00:00

The major equity averages appear to have topped or are close to topping. There are some disturbing indicators in place that have been seen before just prior to stock market…

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The Booming Economy?

Sep 18, 2004 at 00:00

The fall in the unemployment rate happened because the number of those seeking work dropped. If you stop looking because you are discouraged or your unemployment benefits run out you…

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Q2 2004 "Flow of Funds"

Sep 17, 2004 at 00:00

The hot game has become "non-conforming" mortgages securitized in the ABS (asset-backed securities) marketplace. Non-GSE mortgage ABS expanded at an unprecedented seasonally-adjusted and annualized pace of $326.2 billion (more than…

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What Really Drives the Gold Price? - Part 2 - Scrap Highlighted!

Sep 18, 2004 at 00:00

O.P.E.C.'s power is already increasing substantially, as this body sees a reduction in the overall power of the West over demand, for its oil. As non-O.P.E.C. oil supplies diminish from…