• 705 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 705 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 707 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,107 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,112 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,114 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,117 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,117 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,118 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,120 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,120 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,124 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,124 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,125 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,127 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,128 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,131 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,132 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,132 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,134 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

Zombie Foreclosures On The Rise In The U.S.

During the quarter there were…

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

The Problem With Modern Monetary Theory

Modern monetary theory has been…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast

Review: In my January 22 blog post, I said: "If History is any guidance, we should see a major crash Low between 1/20 and 1/26. There are some indications that 1/20/16 was that major Flash Crash Cycle Low, but we need to close solidly above the steep down channel to confirm that."

Actual: We closed above that steep down channel on 1/22, which confirmed 1/20/16 as the major mini crash Low.

From the 1/20/16 Raj T&C Email: "The current cycle bias is from a 1/19L, we rally to a 1/22Hand then decline into 1/27 lower Lows.

Actual: We made a 1/20L, 1 day later, rallied to a 1/22H (#1 on chart) and decline into a 1/27L (#2 on chart)

S&P500 65-Mnute Chart
Larger Image

From the 1/25 Raj T&C weekend Email: "The cycle bias is we made a 1/22H at the 1/22-23 CD to TD, Square, Over flight CIT, then decline into 1/27 Solar and T&C Cluster Lows, which should be a higher Low. From there we rally into a 2/2 High and then decline into 2/5 Low.

Actual: From the 1/27 Low, we rallied into 2/1 High (#3), 1 day earlier, and we saw a decline into2/5 Low (#4) as expected.

What's Next: We make a 2/5 Low+/-1 and see another rally phase.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment