• 682 days Will The ECB Continue To Hike Rates?
  • 683 days Forbes: Aramco Remains Largest Company In The Middle East
  • 684 days Caltech Scientists Succesfully Beam Back Solar Power From Space
  • 1,084 days Could Crypto Overtake Traditional Investment?
  • 1,089 days Americans Still Quitting Jobs At Record Pace
  • 1,091 days FinTech Startups Tapping VC Money for ‘Immigrant Banking’
  • 1,094 days Is The Dollar Too Strong?
  • 1,094 days Big Tech Disappoints Investors on Earnings Calls
  • 1,095 days Fear And Celebration On Twitter as Musk Takes The Reins
  • 1,097 days China Is Quietly Trying To Distance Itself From Russia
  • 1,097 days Tech and Internet Giants’ Earnings In Focus After Netflix’s Stinker
  • 1,101 days Crypto Investors Won Big In 2021
  • 1,101 days The ‘Metaverse’ Economy Could be Worth $13 Trillion By 2030
  • 1,102 days Food Prices Are Skyrocketing As Putin’s War Persists
  • 1,104 days Pentagon Resignations Illustrate Our ‘Commercial’ Defense Dilemma
  • 1,105 days US Banks Shrug off Nearly $15 Billion In Russian Write-Offs
  • 1,108 days Cannabis Stocks in Holding Pattern Despite Positive Momentum
  • 1,109 days Is Musk A Bastion Of Free Speech Or Will His Absolutist Stance Backfire?
  • 1,109 days Two ETFs That Could Hedge Against Extreme Market Volatility
  • 1,111 days Are NFTs About To Take Over Gaming?
Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Market Sentiment At Its Lowest In 10 Months

Stocks sold off last week…

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

Is The Bull Market On Its Last Legs?

This aging bull market may…

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

How The Ultra-Wealthy Are Using Art To Dodge Taxes

More freeports open around the…

  1. Home
  2. Markets
  3. Other

Raj Time and Cycle Review and Forecast

Review: In my January 22 blog post, I said: "If History is any guidance, we should see a major crash Low between 1/20 and 1/26. There are some indications that 1/20/16 was that major Flash Crash Cycle Low, but we need to close solidly above the steep down channel to confirm that."

Actual: We closed above that steep down channel on 1/22, which confirmed 1/20/16 as the major mini crash Low.

From the 1/20/16 Raj T&C Email: "The current cycle bias is from a 1/19L, we rally to a 1/22Hand then decline into 1/27 lower Lows.

Actual: We made a 1/20L, 1 day later, rallied to a 1/22H (#1 on chart) and decline into a 1/27L (#2 on chart)

S&P500 65-Mnute Chart
Larger Image

From the 1/25 Raj T&C weekend Email: "The cycle bias is we made a 1/22H at the 1/22-23 CD to TD, Square, Over flight CIT, then decline into 1/27 Solar and T&C Cluster Lows, which should be a higher Low. From there we rally into a 2/2 High and then decline into 2/5 Low.

Actual: From the 1/27 Low, we rallied into 2/1 High (#3), 1 day earlier, and we saw a decline into2/5 Low (#4) as expected.

What's Next: We make a 2/5 Low+/-1 and see another rally phase.

 

Back to homepage

Leave a comment

Leave a comment