Ashraf Laidi

AshrafLaidi.com

Contributor since: 18 Mar 2011

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• NYSE Margin Debt Raise Key Questions

  Published 22 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  It's happening again. The amount of margin debt balances at New York Stock Exchange member firms fell to $473,412 billion in August, down 2.9% from…

• VIX Golden Cross Not Seen Since 2007

  Published 18 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  The VIX may be 60% below the six-year highs reached last month, but the confluence of medium-trend measures shows a technical development seen only in…

• Comparison of Sep and Jul Fed Statements

  Published 17 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  The Fed kept rates unchanged with an unambiguously dovish statement, focusing on weakening inflation, rising market turbulence and a new reference to foreign developments. The…

• Fed Must Avoid Bank of Japan Errors

  Published 17 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Act Exp Prev GMT BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes Sep 17 23:50 No, the US is not Japan and the Federal Reserve is not the…

• Empire Fed, Retail Sales, Industrial Production All Miss

  Published 15 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  A trifecta of misses in today's US economic releases may not be a game-changer in Thursday's Fed decision because the game is already "unchanged". The…

• VIX: From Insurance to Assurance

  Published 11 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Heading into next week's highly anticipated Fed decision and assessing the prospects for further market volatility, we take a look at futures' traders commitments in…

• Fed Tightening Cycles and USD Performance

  Published 09 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Is the peak of the US dollar behind us? Depending on your USD measure of choice, the dollar may have already peaked, when using EUR…

• China FX Reserves and CNY Implications

  Published 07 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  China FX reserves fell $94 bn to $3.56 tn in August, posting the biggest decline on record, tell us a little more than just China…

• Yields vs Stocks and The Fed

  Published 07 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Act Exp Prev GMT Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (AUG) 173K 217K 245K Sep 04 12:30 Change in Manufacturing Payrolls (AUG) -17K 5K 12K Sep 04…

• ECB Preempts Fed Inaction, PBOC Action

  Published 03 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  The ECB succeeded in weakening the euro and bund yields with an aggressive downgrade of 2015-2017 forecasts for GDP and CPI, while announcing an increase…

• Sell in Beijing, Buy in Ankara, Sell after Lima

  Published 02 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  It's been just over three weeks since China rocked the world with its devaluation announcement, prompting fears of an ominous drop in demand from the…

• Forget Decoupling

  Published 01 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Act Exp Prev GMT PMI Manufacturing 51.5 51.9 51.9 Sep 01 8:30 PMI Construction (AUG) 57.5 57.1 Sep 02 8:30 Markit Manufacturing PMI (AUG) 53.0…

• Is this it for Dollar Bulls?

  Published 28 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  US dollar bulls couldn't have asked for a better scenario -- Just as the USD index (basket of 6 currencies largely weighed vs EUR) was…

• Why it's Worse than October 2014

  Published 21 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Fed funds futures are coming around to the idea of no September rate hike, a position we long held since last December based on the…

• US BreakEven Inflation at 5-Year Lows

  Published 20 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  US BreakEven Inflation at 5-Year Lows - by Ashraf Laidi - Aug 20, 2015 Neither higher than expected Philly Fed survey at 8.3 in August…

• Shanghai and DAX-30 Dance around 200-DMA

  Published 20 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Originally published October 19, 2015. Overnight, China central planners saved the 200-DMA in the Shanghai Composite, with an intraday 6.7% recovery following an earlier 5%…

• UK CPI and Diverging TWI-Cable Rates

  Published 18 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Act Exp Prev GMT CPI (JUL) (m/m) -0.2% -0.3% 0.0% Aug 18 8:30 CPI (JUL) (y/y) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% Aug 18 8:30 Core CPI (JUL)…

• Why has Druckenmiller Dived in Gold and Copper

  Published 17 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Four weeks after gold tumbled to 5-year lows on revelation of far lower Chinese gold holdings than previously anticipated, gold bulls find out that one…

• Fed will Cut 'Transitory' in September

  Published 14 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  A Russian saying goes "nothing is more permanent than temporary". At the Federal Reserve, "transitory" may mean "permanently", or could also mean "we have no…

• German-US Yield Spread Breaks Out

  Published 13 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Act Exp Prev GMT Advance Retail Sales (JUL) 0.6% 0.6% -0.3% Aug 13 12:30 Retail Sales (ex. Autos) (JUL) 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% Aug 13 12:30…