Douglas R. Gillespie

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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Biography

• Does Greenspan Get It?

  Published 26 February 2005 | viewed 4,862 times

  Summary: An apt description of Maestro Greenspan: "Uncle Al, Wall Street's Pal." I wonder, though -- Does Uncle Al understand how foolish he is now…

• My Near-Term Outlook Moves to a More Ominous "Red Alert"

  Published 22 February 2005 | viewed 7,118 times

  Summary Based on what I assess as a serious, continuing technical deterioration, I have decided to raise my near-term outlook for the stock market to…

• The "Did You Know?" Series, Part II - Will There Be a "Public" Stock-Market Capitulation

  Published 16 February 2005 | viewed 5,800 times

  Summary Did you know that during the 10 often-troubled years of 1972 through 1981, mutual funds disinvested in stocks during all 10 them? Does this…

• The "Did You Know?" Series, Part One: Stocks

  Published 27 January 2005 | viewed 5,876 times

  The "Did You Know?" Series, Part One: Stocks Summary Did you know that from its 1973 high to its 1974 low, the Dow Jones Industrial…

• An Additional Look at 2005

  Published 29 December 2004 | viewed 2,846 times

  Summary: This will be my last research missive of 2004, a brief one at that. It's something of an addendum to the two short pieces…

• A Stock-Market "Front-Run" Top?

  Published 20 December 2004 | viewed 2,521 times

  Summary: I'll soon have an initial outlook for 2005 in place. However, one of the elements it will contain is the view that some of…

• The Latest Flow-Of-Funds Data: What Happens If/When Foreigners Stop Buying

  Published 13 December 2004 | viewed 3,043 times

  A closer look at the latest Federal Reserve flow-of-funds data reveals some exceptional happenings during the third quarter. For those people wondering why open-market interest…

• Dollar Weakness and its Threat to the U.S. Financial Markets

  Published 28 November 2004 | viewed 3,845 times

  Introduction It's my long-established practice to publish an analysis each quarter of US financial assets purchased and held by foreign investors. The primary objective of…

• U.S. Dollar/Physical Gold Update

  Published 24 November 2004 | viewed 2,668 times

  Summary: A weak dollar, strong gold, strong stocks (including gold stocks), and strong bonds -- what is wrong with this picture? Historically speaking, the bond/non-gold…

• Behind the Government's Numbers -- More on What You've Suspected but were Afraid to Ask!

  Published 18 November 2004 | viewed 2,212 times

  To say that more and more people trust government economic data less and less is an understatement of major proportions. The passion of the situation…

• A Last-Minute (Hypothetical) Conversation with George Bush

  Published 02 November 2004 | viewed 2,486 times

  POLITICAL DISCLOSURE STATEMENT: I'm a registered Republican (by default) but consider myself a conservative with a few libertarian leanings. Foreword: Last November, I conducted a…

• Pulling Together Three Bearish Stock Themes

  Published 25 October 2004 | viewed 2,863 times

  Summary I have three not-so-bullish stock-market themes at work at the moment: a scary October, the possibility of a major failing rally, accompanied by approaching…

• The Stock Market is Not Behaving Well!

  Published 23 October 2004 | viewed 2,518 times

  Are stocks doing well or less than well? For those watching carefully, the latter is the correct answer. A coming event is currently casting a…

• Stocks and the Coming Electoral Chaos

  Published 14 October 2004 | viewed 3,474 times

  Foreword: This missive is something of an adjunct to the ones I wrote on 10/6 and yesterday, both posted on the Gillespie Research website. Between…

• Government Economic Reports: Things You've Suspected but Were Afraid to Ask! -- Gross Domestic Product

  Published 07 October 2004 | viewed 2,801 times

  When it comes to government economic data, it is easy to get terribly confused. In recent years, it also has become easy to be more…

• Government Economic Reports: Things You've Suspected but Were Afraid to Ask! -- The Consumer Price Index

  Published 23 September 2004 | viewed 2,622 times

  When it comes to government economic data, it is easy to get terribly confused. In recent years, it also has become easy to be more…

• Gillespie, Why Do You Remain So Freaking Bearish on the Stock Market?

  Published 21 September 2004 | viewed 2,578 times

  Foreword It's a strong bet these days that whenever I confirm that I steadfastly remain a secular bear on stocks, as I did in an…

• Government Economic Reports: -- Federal Deficit Reality

  Published 07 September 2004 | viewed 2,823 times

  When it comes to government economic data, it is easy to get terribly confused. In recent years, it also has become easy to be more…

• The World's Greatest Threat: Islamic Fundamentalists -- A War Against Minds

  Published 02 September 2004 | viewed 2,977 times

  This is the fifth and final installment we will be presenting in this series. It and its predecessors are from absolutely fascinating work originally done…

• The World's Greatest Threat: Islamic Fundamentalists (Part II)

  Published 29 August 2004 | viewed 2,812 times

  To date, this will be the fourth installment of this series we have published. I suspect we will do a fifth and final one in…