Ed Carlson

Contributor since: 04 May 2012

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• Beyond Belief

  Published 23 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Last week's commentary, Beyond all Doubt, quickly turned to 'beyond belief' as the Dow exceeded its July 16 closing high. The market timing models of…

• Beyond all Doubt

  Published 16 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  I have two pieces of good news this week (for bears). You will never again have to read about how the 2011 sideways movement has…

• 6-Month Cycle

  Published 26 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  With the passage of the final high of the 2009 bull market high in the Dow (precisely forecast by the Lindsay model on July 17)…

• Mirror Image

  Published 19 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  In the preserved, written work of George Lindsay, Lindsay makes several references to an approach he calls "mirror image". Unfortunately, the most he ever wrote…

• Bull in a China Shop

  Published 12 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  On the one hand... Three weeks ago the Shanghai Composite (SSEC) broke out from a multi-year bullish wedge formation. Wedges imply a minimum move back…

• Commodity Currencies

  Published 05 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Keeping an eye on the currencies of big commodity producing nations not only provides us insight into demand for commodities but the health of emerging…

• Bearish Lindsay Forecast Only Applies to the DOW

  Published 29 July 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Regular readers will remember the column posted two weeks ago as well as last week's column confirming the bearish forecast by showing the positive divergence…

• A Look at the CBOE Market Volatility Index

  Published 22 July 2014 | viewed 0 times

  The CBOE Market Volatility index, or VIX, is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.…

• Lindsay: The 2011 Basic Advance

  Published 15 July 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Over the past several months I have debated from which low of the 2011 Sideways Movement to count the current basic advance; 10/4/11, 11/25/11, or…

• Summer Cycle Sit-Down in the US Dollar

  Published 01 July 2014 | viewed 0 times

  A 3-year cycle points to an important low this summer. At 3-years, 3-months, July seems like a good bet but it is possible the cycle…

• Dr. Copper

  Published 10 June 2014 | viewed 0 times

  In March I wrote two columns about copper. On Friday, March 7 copper broke support at 3.20 and in my column, the following Monday, I…

• Gold

  Published 03 June 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Gold lost $46/oz. last week to close at $1,245.60 and, while it might not feel like it, gold is still up $43.70 for the year.…

• Update

  Published 19 May 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Last week's new high in the Dow puts the Lindsay forecast into flux. Long time readers know that the advance from the 2011 Sideways Movement…

• VIX Term Structure

  Published 13 May 2014 | viewed 0 times

  The VIX term structure illustrates, by maturity, market expectations of volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. The chart (figure 1) below shows…

• Partial Credit

  Published 06 May 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Last week's Hybrid Lindsay forecast didn't work near as well as the previous week's forecast which called for a high on 4/21/14 (the high of…

• Hybrid Lindsay Anticipates a Decline This Week

  Published 29 April 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Last week's Commentary showed a forecast for an expected high in the Dow near Monday, 4/21/14. Last week's high came on Tuesday, one day later…

• Middle Sections

  Published 15 April 2014 | viewed 0 times

  An advancing Middle Section from early 2009 (top) pointed to two separate highs last week. The definition of a Middle Section is a period of…

• Fib or Fact?

  Published 08 April 2014 | viewed 0 times

  As of last Wednesday, the Dow has printed a double top. The time span between 12/31/13 and Wednesday's closing high is 92 days. A Fibonacci…

• Lindsay Long Cycle: Low in 2016

  Published 01 April 2014 | viewed 0 times

  In his seminal paper An Aid to Timing (published March, 1950) George Lindsay included a representation of all his long cycles from 1798 until 1949.…

• Third Time's a Charm?

  Published 25 March 2014 | viewed 0 times

  The US Dollar index bottomed on Monday's 21-day cycle and then rallied over 1% last week (after the previous week's big cycle convergence). In doing…