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Jes Black

Jes Black

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

Biography

Jes Black, hedge fund manager at Black Flag Capital Partners, specializes in foreign exchange and global macro trends. Prior to organizing the fund he helped MG Financial Group launch Forexnews.com. In the summer of 2004 Mr. Black formed FX Money Trends, a research firm catering to professional traders. Mr. Black holds a degree in economics from the University of Kansas and an MBA from the ESC in France. His market commentary is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and Reuters. He has also written numerous strategy pieces for Futures magazine.

  • Market Shaping Up for a Major Top

    Published 18 March 2005 | viewed 5,650 times

    In our last public update we said we were closing our long gold and AUD/USD positions and looking to buy dollars again. We have had…

  • Gold Directional Indicator Says Buy Dollars

    Published 02 March 2005 | viewed 6,296 times

    Our last public update called for a two week rally in the Aussie dollar and gold. We have since covered those positions and are again…

  • Getting Long Gold and AUD/USD

    Published 10 February 2005 | viewed 3,976 times

    Over the past two days readers of our daily update know that we have been taking profits from our dollar longs against the Swiss franc…

  • Long Bonds and the Yield Curve

    Published 02 February 2005 | viewed 6,409 times

    Two weeks ago we said to look for one final rally in the S&P 500 as long as the 1160 level held up. It is…

  • Long Term Look at Dow to Gold Ratio

    Published 25 January 2005 | viewed 5,661 times

    What to Expect from the Second Bush Administration Last week we showed a chart of the dollar to show that President Bush is exactly the…

  • Long USD Could be the Best Trade of 2005

    Published 17 January 2005 | viewed 2,738 times

    First a Special Offer Last week I participated in an online chat at FX Street. You can read the transcript here. http://www.fxmoneytrends.com/JesBlackTranscriptFull.pdf I would like…

  • Contrarian Trading with Sentiment Data

    Published 22 December 2004 | viewed 2,750 times

    In our last publicly posted research note we made the case for a sharp rally in crude oil off the $40 lows on the grounds…

  • The Technical Case for a Rebound in Oil....

    Published 13 December 2004 | viewed 1,991 times

    Making a case for crude oil is hardly groundbreaking at this time. But from our perspective, this is now the moment of reckoning. Recall that…

  • The Real Cost of Borrowing and Asian Economies

    Published 06 December 2004 | viewed 2,517 times

    Friday's payroll disappointment took quite a swing at our bond forecast, sending yields careening lower. But the key 4.25% level on the 10-year yield held,…

  • Stocks and Bonds May Head Down Together This Week

    Published 30 November 2004 | viewed 2,397 times

    Stock Outlook: Stocks have defied our expectations for even the slightest correction. But the longer this euphoric mood carries on the more vulnerable the market…

  • Healthy Correction Should Lead to Gains

    Published 23 November 2004 | viewed 1,936 times

    We've been fortunate enough to get into the right mind set regarding stocks these past few weeks. Recall that we covered shorts on October 26,…

  • Global Stock Markets Point to Further Gains Ahead...

    Published 15 November 2004 | viewed 2,020 times

    The bullish resolution we were looking for in stocks last week came to pass with the S&P 500 rising above the March 2002 peak to…

  • Missed the Equity Rally? How About Bonds...

    Published 09 November 2004 | viewed 3,024 times

    If there was any doubt that the bulls were in charge, Friday's payrolls should suffice. The S&P 500 has rallied for nine consecutive days reaching…

  • Markets at Key Inflection Points Before Elections

    Published 01 November 2004 | viewed 2,049 times

    All major markets are at or near key inflection points providing us with a variety of opportunities to trade from. The dollar reached a new…

  • Stocks to Accelerate Losses this Week...

    Published 25 October 2004 | viewed 2,195 times

    The Dow Transportation average climbed to a new five-year high on Friday of 3435 but suffered a bearish daily reversal and closed on the day's…

  • Foreign ETF Update...

    Published 20 October 2004 | viewed 2,993 times

    We alerted subscribers two months ago to the likely outperformance by a select group of foreign ETFs which we predicted would gain on the back…

  • Consumer Sentiment and the Stock Market...

    Published 18 October 2004 | viewed 2,274 times

    Stocks may be in the beginning stages of a protracted decline brought about by the shifting tide of investor optimism. Surprising Wall Street on Friday…

  • What's Doctor Copper Saying?...

    Published 14 October 2004 | viewed 3,216 times

    October 13, 2004 Copper prices suffered the largest one day decline ever today as prices collapsed from 16-year highs. Copper earned its useful nickname "Dr.…

  • Dow Theory Then and Now ....

    Published 12 October 2004 | viewed 2,235 times

    One of the more distinguishing factors of the latest stock market rally is the number of non-confirmations of trend. While the Nasdaq, Dow and the…

  • Stock, Bond, Vix Ratios Turn Down....

    Published 07 October 2004 | viewed 2,707 times

    Last Friday we released a short note claiming that investors were more bullish than at any time in the past 15 years. Needless to say,…