Jes Black

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Market Shaping Up for a Major Top

  Published 18 March 2005 | viewed 6,272 times

  In our last public update we said we were closing our long gold and AUD/USD positions and looking to buy dollars again. We have had…

• Gold Directional Indicator Says Buy Dollars

  Published 02 March 2005 | viewed 6,978 times

  Our last public update called for a two week rally in the Aussie dollar and gold. We have since covered those positions and are again…

• Getting Long Gold and AUD/USD

  Published 10 February 2005 | viewed 4,758 times

  Over the past two days readers of our daily update know that we have been taking profits from our dollar longs against the Swiss franc…

• Long Bonds and the Yield Curve

  Published 02 February 2005 | viewed 7,086 times

  Two weeks ago we said to look for one final rally in the S&P 500 as long as the 1160 level held up. It is…

• Long Term Look at Dow to Gold Ratio

  Published 25 January 2005 | viewed 6,462 times

  What to Expect from the Second Bush Administration Last week we showed a chart of the dollar to show that President Bush is exactly the…

• Long USD Could be the Best Trade of 2005

  Published 17 January 2005 | viewed 3,446 times

  First a Special Offer Last week I participated in an online chat at FX Street. You can read the transcript here. http://www.fxmoneytrends.com/JesBlackTranscriptFull.pdf I would like…

• Contrarian Trading with Sentiment Data

  Published 22 December 2004 | viewed 3,413 times

  In our last publicly posted research note we made the case for a sharp rally in crude oil off the $40 lows on the grounds…

• The Technical Case for a Rebound in Oil....

  Published 13 December 2004 | viewed 2,641 times

  Making a case for crude oil is hardly groundbreaking at this time. But from our perspective, this is now the moment of reckoning. Recall that…

• The Real Cost of Borrowing and Asian Economies

  Published 06 December 2004 | viewed 3,179 times

  Friday's payroll disappointment took quite a swing at our bond forecast, sending yields careening lower. But the key 4.25% level on the 10-year yield held,…

• Stocks and Bonds May Head Down Together This Week

  Published 30 November 2004 | viewed 2,979 times

  Stock Outlook: Stocks have defied our expectations for even the slightest correction. But the longer this euphoric mood carries on the more vulnerable the market…

• Healthy Correction Should Lead to Gains

  Published 23 November 2004 | viewed 2,538 times

  We've been fortunate enough to get into the right mind set regarding stocks these past few weeks. Recall that we covered shorts on October 26,…

• Global Stock Markets Point to Further Gains Ahead...

  Published 15 November 2004 | viewed 2,749 times

  The bullish resolution we were looking for in stocks last week came to pass with the S&P 500 rising above the March 2002 peak to…

• Missed the Equity Rally? How About Bonds...

  Published 09 November 2004 | viewed 3,696 times

  If there was any doubt that the bulls were in charge, Friday's payrolls should suffice. The S&P 500 has rallied for nine consecutive days reaching…

• Markets at Key Inflection Points Before Elections

  Published 01 November 2004 | viewed 2,657 times

  All major markets are at or near key inflection points providing us with a variety of opportunities to trade from. The dollar reached a new…

• Stocks to Accelerate Losses this Week...

  Published 25 October 2004 | viewed 2,870 times

  The Dow Transportation average climbed to a new five-year high on Friday of 3435 but suffered a bearish daily reversal and closed on the day's…

• Foreign ETF Update...

  Published 20 October 2004 | viewed 3,716 times

  We alerted subscribers two months ago to the likely outperformance by a select group of foreign ETFs which we predicted would gain on the back…

• Consumer Sentiment and the Stock Market...

  Published 18 October 2004 | viewed 3,038 times

  Stocks may be in the beginning stages of a protracted decline brought about by the shifting tide of investor optimism. Surprising Wall Street on Friday…

• What's Doctor Copper Saying?...

  Published 14 October 2004 | viewed 3,998 times

  October 13, 2004 Copper prices suffered the largest one day decline ever today as prices collapsed from 16-year highs. Copper earned its useful nickname "Dr.…

• Dow Theory Then and Now ....

  Published 12 October 2004 | viewed 3,024 times

  One of the more distinguishing factors of the latest stock market rally is the number of non-confirmations of trend. While the Nasdaq, Dow and the…

• Stock, Bond, Vix Ratios Turn Down....

  Published 07 October 2004 | viewed 3,539 times

  Last Friday we released a short note claiming that investors were more bullish than at any time in the past 15 years. Needless to say,…