Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Could The Fed Trigger A Deflationary Slide In Stocks?

  Published 11 December 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Policy Change Coming Next Week? In Tuesday's Wall Street Journal, a reporter with excellent contacts at the Fed, Jon Hilsenrath, penned the following: Federal Reserve…

• The Most Important Variable For 2015

  Published 08 December 2014 | viewed 0 times

  What Drives Bond Yields And The Fed? Since the Fed is the largest player in the bond market, it plays a big role in the…

• How Does 2014 Compare To 1987 And 2007?

  Published 01 December 2014 | viewed 0 times

  ISM Provides A Reference Point In 2007 and 2008, the average reading of the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) was…

• Hard To Say This Is Bearish

  Published 25 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Strongest Six Months In A Decade It is difficult to imagine a new bear market starting when the economy is growing and the technicals are…

• Breadth Divergence: Are The Bulls Missing This?

  Published 20 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Negative/Bearish Divergence Yesterday, we covered an analysis about a potentially bullish signal in market breadth. A common form of feedback was: What about the divergence…

• Market Breadth Is Trying To Tell Us Something About Risk

  Published 19 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Volume Speaks To Conviction Since every stock trade has a buyer and a seller, stocks do not rise when there are more buyers than sellers…

• Odds Of Stock Rally Pushing Higher

  Published 17 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  ECB Ready To Act In a familiar theme of words and little in the way of action, the head of the European Central Bank was…

• Is This Lagging Sector Ready To Lead?

  Published 12 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Fundamental And Technical Alignment? From a probability perspective, the best investment ideas tend to be those with improving fundamentals and improving technicals (charts). On the…

• Defensive Leadership: A Showstopper For Bull Market?

  Published 10 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Consumer Discretionary Underperforming The chart below shows the performance of consumer discretionary stocks relative to consumer staples. For most of 2013, discretionary sectors were leading…

• Two Reasons The Fed Will Be Slow To Raise Rates

  Published 06 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Desire to avoid repeating mistakes made in 1937. Fear of a deflationary spiral. 1937 Keeps Governors Up At Night Central bankers are students of monetary…

• Markets Have Not Seen This In Eight Years

  Published 04 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Republicans Could Recapture Senate The stock market has recently experienced unprecedented and rare moves. From a political perspective, it has been rare in recent years…

• Another Extremely Rare Market Event

  Published 03 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Unprecedented And Rare Events On October 24, we outlined a recent "never happened before" move in the Volatility Index or VIX. A recent article on…

• Could The Bulls Run Into Year-End?

  Published 31 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  As noted in detail on May 14, it is always important to understand both the bullish and bearish case for stocks. We recently noted two…

• Is The Fed Altering Asset Prices?

  Published 22 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Fed Is One Of Many Elements In Market's Structure Markets are never driven by any single factor at any moment in time. Asset prices are…

• Stocks: Is It Time To Get Back In?

  Published 21 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  On October 13 we referred to the chart below as the most important chart on Wall Street. The gains in stocks over the past four…

• Stock Rally Faces Important Test

  Published 20 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Earnings Help Revive Equity Interest The market has been looking for some good news. While IBM had a big miss Monday, the overall picture for…

• Could The SP500 Fall To 1,625?

  Published 15 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  A Trip Down Correction Memory Lane Since the correction-less market theory has been dropping transmission parts over the last three weeks, it is prudent to…

• The Most Important Chart On Wall Street

  Published 13 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Foreign Weakness And A Strong Dollar Stocks have done very little in the "prove it to me" department in recent sessions. Monday's focus was on…

• IMF Says Markets Could Experience 'Widespread Disruption'

  Published 07 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  World Economic Outlook The International Monetary Fund (IMF) published their most recent outlook for the global economy Tuesday. While most of the headlines covered the…

• Fed Minutes Could Determine Rally’s Fate

  Published 06 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  This Week's Market-Moving Events Earnings season will give the market a chance to take stock of current valuations. Headliners this week include announcements from Alcoa…