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Chris Ciovacco

Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC.

  • Could The Fed Trigger A Deflationary Slide In Stocks?

    Published 11 December 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Policy Change Coming Next Week? In Tuesday's Wall Street Journal, a reporter with excellent contacts at the Fed, Jon Hilsenrath, penned the following: Federal Reserve…

  • The Most Important Variable For 2015

    Published 08 December 2014 | viewed 0 times

    What Drives Bond Yields And The Fed? Since the Fed is the largest player in the bond market, it plays a big role in the…

  • How Does 2014 Compare To 1987 And 2007?

    Published 01 December 2014 | viewed 0 times

    ISM Provides A Reference Point In 2007 and 2008, the average reading of the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) was…

  • Hard To Say This Is Bearish

    Published 25 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Strongest Six Months In A Decade It is difficult to imagine a new bear market starting when the economy is growing and the technicals are…

  • Breadth Divergence: Are The Bulls Missing This?

    Published 20 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Negative/Bearish Divergence Yesterday, we covered an analysis about a potentially bullish signal in market breadth. A common form of feedback was: What about the divergence…

  • Market Breadth Is Trying To Tell Us Something About Risk

    Published 19 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Volume Speaks To Conviction Since every stock trade has a buyer and a seller, stocks do not rise when there are more buyers than sellers…

  • Odds Of Stock Rally Pushing Higher

    Published 17 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    ECB Ready To Act In a familiar theme of words and little in the way of action, the head of the European Central Bank was…

  • Is This Lagging Sector Ready To Lead?

    Published 12 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Fundamental And Technical Alignment? From a probability perspective, the best investment ideas tend to be those with improving fundamentals and improving technicals (charts). On the…

  • Defensive Leadership: A Showstopper For Bull Market?

    Published 10 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Consumer Discretionary Underperforming The chart below shows the performance of consumer discretionary stocks relative to consumer staples. For most of 2013, discretionary sectors were leading…

  • Two Reasons The Fed Will Be Slow To Raise Rates

    Published 06 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Desire to avoid repeating mistakes made in 1937. Fear of a deflationary spiral. 1937 Keeps Governors Up At Night Central bankers are students of monetary…

  • Markets Have Not Seen This In Eight Years

    Published 04 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Republicans Could Recapture Senate The stock market has recently experienced unprecedented and rare moves. From a political perspective, it has been rare in recent years…

  • Another Extremely Rare Market Event

    Published 03 November 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Unprecedented And Rare Events On October 24, we outlined a recent "never happened before" move in the Volatility Index or VIX. A recent article on…

  • Could The Bulls Run Into Year-End?

    Published 31 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    As noted in detail on May 14, it is always important to understand both the bullish and bearish case for stocks. We recently noted two…

  • Is The Fed Altering Asset Prices?

    Published 22 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Fed Is One Of Many Elements In Market's Structure Markets are never driven by any single factor at any moment in time. Asset prices are…

  • Stocks: Is It Time To Get Back In?

    Published 21 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    On October 13 we referred to the chart below as the most important chart on Wall Street. The gains in stocks over the past four…

  • Stock Rally Faces Important Test

    Published 20 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Earnings Help Revive Equity Interest The market has been looking for some good news. While IBM had a big miss Monday, the overall picture for…

  • Could The SP500 Fall To 1,625?

    Published 15 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    A Trip Down Correction Memory Lane Since the correction-less market theory has been dropping transmission parts over the last three weeks, it is prudent to…

  • The Most Important Chart On Wall Street

    Published 13 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Foreign Weakness And A Strong Dollar Stocks have done very little in the "prove it to me" department in recent sessions. Monday's focus was on…

  • IMF Says Markets Could Experience 'Widespread Disruption'

    Published 07 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    World Economic Outlook The International Monetary Fund (IMF) published their most recent outlook for the global economy Tuesday. While most of the headlines covered the…

  • Fed Minutes Could Determine Rally’s Fate

    Published 06 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    This Week's Market-Moving Events Earnings season will give the market a chance to take stock of current valuations. Headliners this week include announcements from Alcoa…