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Chris Ciovacco

Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010


Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC.

  • Are Commodities Waving Red Flags For Stocks?

    Published 03 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Worries Not In Short Supply Are there things to be concerned about? Yes. Europe is weak economically and flirting with deflation, the Fed is on…

  • Will Buyers Step Up Again?

    Published 02 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Five Recent Misses On September 30, we noted three examples of economic reports that came in below expectations. The disappointing theme also helped contribute to…

  • Guideposts For An Indecisive Stock Market

    Published 30 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Three Economic Strikes Tuesday's economic news carried a theme of "below expectations". From The Wall Street Journal: The Chicago Business Barometer, referred to as the…

  • Key Week For Bull/Bear Battle

    Published 29 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Good News, Bad News An encouraging economic report was released Monday, which increased concerns about a sooner rather than later Fed rate hike. From Reuters:…

  • Indecisiveness Means Higher Risk For Stocks

    Published 26 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    GDP Will Keep Fed Fears In Play As we will demonstrate via charts below, the financial markets have been becoming increasingly concerned about the coming…

  • Managing Stock Market Risk In A Schizophrenic Environment

    Published 24 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Stocks Reverse Two-Day Slide Stocks tried to regain their short-term mojo Wednesday following some better than expected economic data and a development on the regulatory…

  • A Rational Look At Stock Market Risk

    Published 22 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    No Fear Mongering, Just Facts Group of 20 finance chiefs and central bankers said current risks include uneven growth and the possibility of excessive risk-taking…

  • What Is The VIX Fear Index Telling Us Now?

    Published 19 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Supply And Demand When you get down to brass tacks, asset prices are governed by supply and demand. In the markets, the conviction of buyers…

  • Dow Theory: Yellow Flags or Green Light?

    Published 18 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Mixed Message For Manufacturing Stock prices have a high correlation to economic activity and earnings. History tells us bear markets are often kicked-off by recessions.…

  • Is A Big Move In Stocks Coming Soon?

    Published 16 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    It Can't Hurt To Be Prepared Regular readers know we make decisions based on hard evidence from the markets, rather than attempting to forecast what…

  • Fed: The Key Portion Of This Week's Statement

    Published 15 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Yellen Looking For Consensus Like Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen appears to be a leader in search of consensus. After artificially holding down interest rates and…

  • Want To Reduce Investment Stress?

    Published 11 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    151 Point Energy-Sapping Move If we told you the S&P 500 had moved 151 points since August 24, you would probably say, "you are crazy".…

  • Dollar May Drag Down Emerging Markets

    Published 09 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Countless Moving Parts One factor that makes investing such a difficult task is the almost infinite number of inputs impacting the value of any asset.…

  • Energy: A Double-Edged Sword For Markets

    Published 08 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Light Economic Calendar With little in the way of market moving announcements Monday, traders tended to focus on changes in the energy markets. From The…

  • Is A Big Pop Coming In Tech Stocks?

    Published 02 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Breakout From Bullish Pattern Regular readers know we are not big fans of forecasting outcomes in the financial markets. However, assessing investment probabilities based on…

  • Economy vs. Fed Rate Hikes

    Published 28 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Confusion Continues The bad news is markets tend to get jittery when the Fed is preparing for a new interest rate cycle. The good news…

  • QE Ending Or Just Getting Started?

    Published 27 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

    ECB To Step Up As Fed Steps Back? While the Federal Reserve has laid out specific plans to end their quantitative easing (QE) program, a…

  • Anatomy Of A Stock Market Turn

    Published 26 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Catch-22 Data Hits Tuesday Before we begin to examine the recent bottom in the stock market, investors were greeted with an eye-popping nugget of economic…

  • Rate Hike By June Still Only A 50-50 Bet

    Published 26 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

    If the economy continues to improve, it is not a question of if, but when the Federal Reserve will begin to raise interest rates. Since…

  • Are U.S. Stocks More Attractive Than Emerging Markets?

    Published 22 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

    Strong Dollar Could Alter Capital Flows Once you invest outside the United States, the impact of currency fluctuations becomes more pronounced. All things being equal,…