Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Are Commodities Waving Red Flags For Stocks?

  Published 03 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Worries Not In Short Supply Are there things to be concerned about? Yes. Europe is weak economically and flirting with deflation, the Fed is on…

• Will Buyers Step Up Again?

  Published 02 October 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Five Recent Misses On September 30, we noted three examples of economic reports that came in below expectations. The disappointing theme also helped contribute to…

• Guideposts For An Indecisive Stock Market

  Published 30 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Three Economic Strikes Tuesday's economic news carried a theme of "below expectations". From The Wall Street Journal: The Chicago Business Barometer, referred to as the…

• Key Week For Bull/Bear Battle

  Published 29 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Good News, Bad News An encouraging economic report was released Monday, which increased concerns about a sooner rather than later Fed rate hike. From Reuters:…

• Indecisiveness Means Higher Risk For Stocks

  Published 26 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  GDP Will Keep Fed Fears In Play As we will demonstrate via charts below, the financial markets have been becoming increasingly concerned about the coming…

• Managing Stock Market Risk In A Schizophrenic Environment

  Published 24 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Stocks Reverse Two-Day Slide Stocks tried to regain their short-term mojo Wednesday following some better than expected economic data and a development on the regulatory…

• A Rational Look At Stock Market Risk

  Published 22 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  No Fear Mongering, Just Facts Group of 20 finance chiefs and central bankers said current risks include uneven growth and the possibility of excessive risk-taking…

• What Is The VIX Fear Index Telling Us Now?

  Published 19 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Supply And Demand When you get down to brass tacks, asset prices are governed by supply and demand. In the markets, the conviction of buyers…

• Dow Theory: Yellow Flags or Green Light?

  Published 18 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Mixed Message For Manufacturing Stock prices have a high correlation to economic activity and earnings. History tells us bear markets are often kicked-off by recessions.…

• Is A Big Move In Stocks Coming Soon?

  Published 16 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  It Can't Hurt To Be Prepared Regular readers know we make decisions based on hard evidence from the markets, rather than attempting to forecast what…

• Fed: The Key Portion Of This Week's Statement

  Published 15 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Yellen Looking For Consensus Like Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen appears to be a leader in search of consensus. After artificially holding down interest rates and…

• Want To Reduce Investment Stress?

  Published 11 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  151 Point Energy-Sapping Move If we told you the S&P 500 had moved 151 points since August 24, you would probably say, "you are crazy".…

• Dollar May Drag Down Emerging Markets

  Published 09 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Countless Moving Parts One factor that makes investing such a difficult task is the almost infinite number of inputs impacting the value of any asset.…

• Energy: A Double-Edged Sword For Markets

  Published 08 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Light Economic Calendar With little in the way of market moving announcements Monday, traders tended to focus on changes in the energy markets. From The…

• Is A Big Pop Coming In Tech Stocks?

  Published 02 September 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Breakout From Bullish Pattern Regular readers know we are not big fans of forecasting outcomes in the financial markets. However, assessing investment probabilities based on…

• Economy vs. Fed Rate Hikes

  Published 28 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Confusion Continues The bad news is markets tend to get jittery when the Fed is preparing for a new interest rate cycle. The good news…

• QE Ending Or Just Getting Started?

  Published 27 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  ECB To Step Up As Fed Steps Back? While the Federal Reserve has laid out specific plans to end their quantitative easing (QE) program, a…

• Anatomy Of A Stock Market Turn

  Published 26 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Catch-22 Data Hits Tuesday Before we begin to examine the recent bottom in the stock market, investors were greeted with an eye-popping nugget of economic…

• Rate Hike By June Still Only A 50-50 Bet

  Published 26 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  If the economy continues to improve, it is not a question of if, but when the Federal Reserve will begin to raise interest rates. Since…

• Are U.S. Stocks More Attractive Than Emerging Markets?

  Published 22 August 2014 | viewed 0 times

  Strong Dollar Could Alter Capital Flows Once you invest outside the United States, the impact of currency fluctuations becomes more pronounced. All things being equal,…