Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Small Caps A Showstopper For SP 500 Rally?

  Published 27 October 2015 | viewed 0 times

  In today's post, we will answer one question and one question only: Is it possible for the S&P 500 to perform well during a period…

• Don't Fight Central Banks, But Be Afraid

  Published 26 October 2015 | viewed 0 times

  There May Be Gains To Capture In Stocks In The Coming Years, But Risk Management May Be Very Important Down The Road While pondering the…

• Is Gold Signaling An Important Shift For Economy, Inflation, and Stock Market?

  Published 19 October 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Gold, Inflation, and Armageddon Two of the primary drivers in the gold market are: Armageddon, economic, and systemic fear Fear of future inflation/paper currencies Gold…

• Is The Stock Rally Already Over?

  Published 14 October 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Emotional Reaction To A Red Day If you have been around the markets for any length of time, the following statements seem rational and logical:…

• Why Stocks Could Remain Volatile Until Late In Q4

  Published 01 October 2015 | viewed 0 times

  We Just Had A Rare Waterfall Plunge Those close to the markets know stocks had a very difficult time between the close on August 19…

• Retest Of The Lows Is Taking Place Now

  Published 29 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  No Improvement So Far Given the severity of the selloff in stocks in late August, it was not surprising to see the subsequent rally attempts…

• Are The Strongest SP Sectors Favoring The Bulls?

  Published 24 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  'Everything Is Not Rolling Over' You may have heard the argument that the stock market looks better than many believe, based on the fact that…

• Are Stocks Hinting At Bigger Problems?

  Published 23 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  The Fed Has Tried Both Sides Last Thursday, the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates. While the "no rate increase" scenario is typically favorable…

• Major Fed Scenarios

  Published 14 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  This week all eyes and ears will be focused on the Federal Reserve's policy statement to be released at 2:00 pm ET Thursday. The Fed…

• Stocks Stall At Logical Level On Fed Fears

  Published 10 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Strong Employment Data The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate (employment and inflation). With the unemployment rate hovering near the Fed's stated level of full…

• What Does A Stock Market Bottom Look Like?

  Published 03 September 2015 | viewed 0 times

  History Helps With Flexibility Since the S&P 500 recently completed a very rare period of V-bottoms, it is easy to visualize and understand the "rapid…

• Will The Fed Spook The Markets In September?

  Published 31 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Fear Of Waiting Too Long With interest rates hovering near zero, the Federal Reserve is in a difficult spot. Even if the Fed raises rates…

• Similar Model Readings In A Bull Market

  Published 27 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  It Is Not That Simple Before you look at the charts below and say "hey this is easy...now is the time to buy", keep in…

• Bear Markets And Economic Contractions: 2001/2008 vs. 2015

  Published 18 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Economic Basis For Large Bear Market Declines As we noted in a recent "recession odds" article, bear markets typically are caused by one of two…

• China's Move May Have Big Impact On Global Stocks

  Published 11 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Devaluation Could Alter Fed's Timing The longer you invest, the more you realize the extremely important role central bank policy plays in the global financial…

• 2015 Recession Probabilities And Bear Markets

  Published 03 August 2015 | viewed 0 times

  What Causes A Bear Market? Bear markets typically have an economic or monetary policy catalyst. David Rosenberg, Chief Economist & Strategist for Gluskin Sheff, summed…

• Market's Bias Within Range Favors Bulls

  Published 30 July 2015 | viewed 0 times

  An Even Battle Between Bulls And Bears? The S&P 500 made an intraday low of 2039 on March 11, 2015. The intraday high in the…

• Several Reasons To Remain Open To Bullish Outcomes For Stocks

  Published 28 July 2015 | viewed 0 times

  Fear Has Lots Of Company As we noted in "What Do 1987, 2003, 2009, And 2015 Have In Common?": When investor sentiment reaches extreme levels,…

• What Do 1987, 2003, 2009, And 2015 Have In Common?

  Published 21 July 2015 | viewed 0 times

  "Stocks Are Going Nowhere In Next Few Years" If you have been involved with the markets over the past thirty years, you may find the…

• Greece: What Do Investors Need To Know About Risk?

  Published 04 July 2015 | viewed 0 times

  With a vote and subsequent negotiations in Greece, how concerned should investors be? What is contagion and why should we care? How can we monitor…