Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Germany: Solutions To Extend Well Into Next Year

  Published 17 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The most important story as we head into the new week - from Bloomberg: Germany said European Union leaders won't provide the complete fix to…

• Impressive Rally Showing Some Signs of Slowing

  Published 15 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  As of 3:15 p.m. on Friday, we have four factors that tell us the odds are increasing for the market to pull back soon (Monday…

• Silver's Signals Lean Bearish For Stocks and Commodities

  Published 14 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Before we review current bull/bear signals from silver, Bloomberg had an on the money comment relative to the efforts in Europe: "Recapitalizing the banks is…

• Bullish Set-Up vs. Europe, Downtrend

  Published 08 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  For the past eight weeks, this market has been difficult for bulls and bears alike. I do not recall a more difficult two month stretch…

• Part II - Stocks: Like March 2008 or August 2008?

  Published 06 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  We have been calling for the markets to make new lows for eight weeks. The new low occurred on Monday. Given the similarities to March…

• Quick Fix In Europe? Dream On

  Published 05 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  If you are involved in the financial markets in any way, shape, form, or fashion, you know Europe is what matters right now. When the…

• Stocks Are Going Lower - Deflation Assets Higher

  Published 04 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  No one can predict where the stock market is headed, but there are numerous sound methods to make probabilistic forecasts. At CCM, we have two…

• Greece, Recession Odds, and Technicals All Bearish

  Published 03 October 2011 | viewed 0 times

  While inspectors from the International Monetary Fund, EU and European Central Bank, known as the troika, are in Athens to review the books, Reuters reported…

• Short-Term Conviction Faltering For Bulls (Updated)

  Published 30 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The expression "we are stuck in a trading range" can lull investors into a state of short-term complacency, especially when the market has exceeded expectations…

• Early Read on German Vote is Bearish

  Published 28 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It is difficult to predict how the market will react to what is expected to be a favorable German vote Thursday approving the July 21…

• Most Likely A Prudent Time To Cover SP 500 Shorts

  Published 27 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  There is a sound axiom in the markets - "When the market does not do what you expect it to do, it is time to…

• Downside Potential In Stocks And The Euro (Updated)

  Published 23 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Global leaders continue to make statements, vows, and promises, but they have done next to nothing in terms of concrete actions. According to Bloomberg: Policy…

• 22 Reasons The SP 500 Is Headed Below 1,050

  Published 22 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  There are numerous fundamental and technical reasons supporting a move below 1,050 on the S&P 500: The market is fixated on the approval of the…

• Market Forecasting Fed Disappointment

  Published 20 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  As shown in the chart below, the Dow was having a rough day on August 9 as it waited for the Fed's statement to be…

• China / Market Action Question Stock Rally's Staying Power

  Published 16 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Regardless of what happens in Europe, stocks are not the place to be if a recession is around the corner. The odds of a recession…

• Is The Euro Crisis Over Or Just Getting Started?

  Published 15 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Central bankers have provided liquidity with today's announcement; it does nothing to address the real problems of solvency in Greece, Italy, Spain, etc. (not to…

• SP500 Relative to Europe is Raising Red Flags for Bulls

  Published 13 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The S&P 500 has been regarded as a relative "safe haven" given: The high probability of a default by Greece. Concerns debt markets will focus…

• Stocks/Commodities May Get Hammered If Dollar Rallies

  Published 11 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Saying an asset class may be "hammered" may seem like a colorful way to express an opinion, but the table below shows stocks and commodities…

• Fed Can't Twist Sell Signals Away

  Published 09 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The Wall Street Journal's cover story on September 8 boldly proclaimed "Fed Prepares to Act". The article hinted that 'Operation Twist' may be in the…

• Shorts May Prey On Serious Problems In Europe

  Published 08 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Bridgewater Associates is the world"s largest macro hedge fund firm, meaning they have a good handle on the problems in Europe. Some excerpts from a…