Chris Ciovacco

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

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• Logical Case For 49% Drop In Stocks

  Published 05 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  With an apparent acceleration of the debt crisis in Europe and a prolonged budget fight set to continue in the United States, we have bear…

• Traders Don't Care About Long-Term Problems, But You Should

  Published 01 September 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Professional stock market traders manage risk very closely. In fact, stop loss levels tend to be set almost directly below entry points, meaning they are…

• Tepid Interest in QE2 Winners Raises Questions About QE3

  Published 30 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The Federal Reserve printed money in 2009 and bailed out the stock market. The Federal Reserve printed money in 2010 and bailed out the stock…

• Europe, Bearish Technicals Drag Down Longer-Term Outlook for Stocks

  Published 29 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  With Ben Bernanke's Jackson Hole speech in the rear-view mirror, the markets will most likely turn their attention back toward Europe. In the short-run, it…

• ETF Rankings: Significant Downside Still Possible In Stocks

  Published 26 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  On August 3, we commented that recent breakdowns called for a defensive bias. Unfortunately, our concern about the market's intermediate-term outlook has become more acute…

• Action in Gold and Silver May Be Bearish For Stocks (Updated)

  Published 25 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  After Wednesday's close, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange announced that they were raising the margin requirement for gold by 27%. This means the collateral they need…

• Bearish Signals Raise Red Flags as Market Anticipates Fed

  Published 23 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  We can expect more volatility (up and down) over the next ten days or so. The Federal Reserve has their annual Jackson Hole conference this…

• Dip Buyers Beware: Odds Favor Lower Lows in Stocks

  Published 22 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Whether you rely on fundamentals, technicals, or a combination of both, investment analysis centers around looking at probabilistic future outcomes based on historic outcomes that…

• Dollar May Assist in Managing Gold and Silver Holdings

  Published 19 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Inexperienced investors in the commodity markets should keep in mind that while gold and silver look good now, silver dropped 59% in the last bear…

• QE2 Winners Not Forecasting QE3 Jackson Hole Miracle

  Published 18 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  In 2009 and 2010, the Federal Reserve was able to reverse sharp declines in asset prices by pumping large amounts of printed money into the…

• Stock Market's Death Cross Looking More Deadly This Time

  Published 16 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  A "death cross" is when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average. One just occurred on the S&P 500 Index. The slang…

• Rally Back Toward 1,260 Possible Even If New Bear Has Kicked-Off

  Published 15 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  We are participating in a PIMCO conference call this morning with Mohamed A. El-Erian and Bill Gross. PIMCO is very well connected and knowledgeable regarding…

• Parallels To 2000 And 2008 Should Not Be Ignored

  Published 12 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Before you read your favorite author's work relative to the outlook for today's markets, we invite you to go back into their article archives and…

• Risk Management, Stocks, and the Debt Crisis

  Published 09 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  While most people understand the current global debt crisis is a serious matter, many investors may still be thinking along these lines: Companies are healthy…

• Stocks Recovered in 1994, 1998, and 2004

  Published 08 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Our July 27 article, How Will A Downgrade of U.S. Debt Impact Stock and Bond Prices?, is obviously more relevant now. Since the news of…

• Market Sitting On Fine Bull/Bear Line

  Published 05 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  We updated our similar markets study last night. The results are similar to the first pass. As mentioned in the July 18 video (see below),…

• Recent Data and Breakdowns Call For Defensive Bias

  Published 03 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Every comment made below needs to be taken in the context of possible Fed action. The Fed will most certainly do something in response to…

• One Possible Market Scenario For Meeting August 2 Deadline

  Published 29 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The deadline for some type of debt-ceiling deal is now only five calendar days away (three trading days). The odds of no agreement of any…

• Missing August 2 Debt Deadline Still Not Likely

  Published 27 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

  After the market closed on July 27, we reviewed the latest news from Washington looking for information that can help us over the next six…

• How Will A Downgrade of U.S. Debt Impact Stock and Bond Prices?

  Published 27 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Since the United States has carried a AAA debt rating since 1917, the term unprecedented has been properly applied to the possibility of a downgrade…