"No warning can save people determined to grow suddently rich" - Lord Overstone

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David Yu

David Yu

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

  • The Slump of the Housing Market

    Published 13 May 2008 | viewed 3,385 times

    May 11, 2008 I was out dining on Friday night. The restaurant was located in an upper middle class neighborhood shopping center in Walnut Creek,…

  • The Worst is Over

    Published 28 April 2008 | viewed 3,711 times

    Now that spring has sprung and the Dow has sprinted more than 1,200 points from what I've identified as the technical market bottom on January…

  • Putting the Buggy Before the Horse

    Published 13 April 2008 | viewed 2,292 times

    It was quite a busy week, and I only had time to put up fragments of my analyses during the week. Now let me try…

  • The Transports

    Published 31 March 2008 | viewed 1,723 times

    Despite reports of miles of idled railcars parked in the middle of nowhere, transportation traffic continues to grow, particularly in shipments of coal and agricultural…

  • Spring has Sprung

    Published 24 March 2008 | viewed 2,310 times

    I've been writing about bullish technical divergences right after the market hit the January 22-23 intraday low. From the perspective of a volume technician, or…

  • The Market's Poised For a Big Move

    Published 03 March 2008 | viewed 4,432 times

    Chart 1 below is the follow-up to the 2/4/2008 chart and the 2/14/2008 chart that I had posted on my Thursday, 2/14/2008 update. The 2/4/2008…

  • Taiwan is Worth a Look

    Published 19 February 2008 | viewed 1,582 times

    Monday, February 18, 2008 Hope you're all enjoying a nice day off on President's Day. Even though it's an island of merely 89 miles wide…

  • The Year of the Rat Started on a Positive Note

    Published 11 February 2008 | viewed 2,082 times

       Happy New Year! The Dow is down 8.2%, the S&P is off 9.3%, and the Nasdaq is down 13% on the year, but that's for…

  • The Yen Foretells a Long-Term Market Downtrend

    Published 19 November 2007 | viewed 5,235 times

    Now I'm not so sure that the Japanese yen will retreat. Japan's economy and, therefore, its stock market, have a a near perfect inverse correlation…

  • Unless You Own Gold

    Published 05 November 2007 | viewed 3,953 times

    This is a follow-up to last Wednesday's discussion. After the Fed cut the Fed Fund's rate by another 0.25% last week, the Wall Street Journal's…

  • A Volumist's View of The Market

    Published 28 October 2007 | viewed 3,299 times

    If there's such a thing as a "Volumist" for stock market technician, who specializes in the study and analysis of trading volume, then I'd be…

  • The Unwinding

    Published 22 October 2007 | viewed 6,741 times

    When the Tokyo Nikkei 225 Index dropped more than 400 points on Tuesday and Wednesday last week, the Japanese yen appeared ready to challenge the…

  • The Carry Trade Challenges

    Published 15 October 2007 | viewed 2,895 times

    Last time the Bank of Japan raised 0.25% of its benchmark interest rate to 0.50% on 2/21/2007, the unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade took…

  • An Overstretched Market

    Published 07 October 2007 | viewed 4,811 times

    Friday's payroll report was billed to be the main event that's supposed to determine the course of the financial market and perhaps our economy. With…

  • The Recession Propaganda

    Published 01 October 2007 | viewed 6,047 times

    Does this look like a picture of a recession to you? Chart 1 Of course not. But, if you had been feeling a little despondent…

  • Wall Street May Get What It Wishes For

    Published 14 September 2007 | viewed 2,728 times

    Lately, it's almost impossible not to be reminded of the rising probability of a recession by the Wall Street cheerleading squad, which used to dispute…

  • The Dichotomy of M1 and M2

    Published 01 September 2007 | viewed 2,136 times

    I'm sure we'll read every possible analysis about the "imminent" rate cut on the benchmark Fed Fund's Rate before (and possibly even more after) the…

  • The Other Shoe

    Published 26 August 2007 | viewed 3,680 times

    The 2.8% monthly increase of new home sales in July was supposedly the surprise that drove Friday's rally (see Chart 1). Unlike re-sale homes, a…

  • Massive Overhead Resistance

    Published 19 August 2007 | viewed 5,327 times

    The Fed's decision to cut its overnight discount rate before the market opened on Friday might've wiped out quite of few traders and investors, who…

  • Market Bulimia

    Published 12 August 2007 | viewed 2,486 times

    After watching 3 days of unrelenting rally from Monday through Wednesday, which pushed the DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) up more than 530 points, the…