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Michael Ashton

Michael Ashton

E-PIPHANY

Contributor since: 26 Feb 2010

  • Not So Fast on the Trump Bull Market

    Published 01 December 2016 | viewed 0 times

    **NOTE - please see the announcement at the end of this article, regarding a series of free webinars that begins next Monday.**   Whatever else…

  • Who Keeps Selling These Free Options?

    Published 23 November 2016 | viewed 0 times

    It seems that recently I've developed a bit of a theme in pointing out situations where the market was pricing one particular outcome so completely…

  • Summary of My Post-CPI Tweets

    Published 17 November 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Below is a summary of my post-CPI tweets. You can (and should!) follow me @inflation_guy or sign up for email updates to my occasional articles…

  • Can't Blame Trump for Everything

    Published 15 November 2016 | viewed 0 times

    So much has happened since the Presidential election - and almost none of it very obvious. The plunge in equities on Donald Trump's victory was…

  • Brexit and Trump and Free Options

    Published 09 November 2016 | viewed 0 times

    As the evening developed, and it began to dawn on Americans - and the world - that Donald Trump might actually win, markets plunged. The…

  • Why Are Inflation Expectations Rising?

    Published 02 November 2016 | viewed 0 times

    A persistent phenomenon of the last couple of months has been the rise in inflation expectations, in particular market-based measures. The chart below (source: Bloomberg)…

  • How Obama Helped Trump Win the White House

    Published 27 October 2016 | viewed 0 times

    At this writing, Presidential Candidate Donald Trump is trailing Hillary Clinton in most assessments of the political map. While it is much closer than the…

  • Summary of My Post-CPI Tweets

    Published 18 October 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Below is a summary of my post-CPI tweets. You can (and should!) follow me @inflation_guy or sign up for email updates to my occasional articles…

  • Inflation Dogma Dies Hard

    Published 14 October 2016 | viewed 0 times

    It has been a busy week, if short. We found out this week that there is pressure on the doves at the Federal Reserve, the…

  • Why Does the Fed Focus on a Flawed PCE?

    Published 03 October 2016 | viewed 0 times

    On Friday, I was on Bloomberg TV's "What'd You Miss?" program to talk about the PCE inflation report from Friday morning. You can see most…

  • Even With a Crisis, No Deflation Coming

    Published 28 September 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Recently I've been thinking a lot about what might happen in the event of a banking crisis redux. While I'm not very concerned about US…

  • Japan Is Doomed. Again

    Published 21 September 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Japan is doomed. Again. A couple of years ago, the Bank of Japan began to pursue QE, with the intention of doubling its money supply.…

  • Do Shortages Cause Lower Prices?

    Published 19 September 2016 | viewed 0 times

    This is a quick post this morning because it is rainy and I am grumpy and feel like complaining. Over the weekend I saw a…

  • Summary of My Post-CPI Tweets

    Published 16 September 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Below is a summary of my post-CPI tweets. You can (and should!) follow me @inflation_guy or sign up for email updates to my occasional articles…

  • Reforming Priors and Re-Forming Europe

    Published 08 September 2016 | viewed 0 times

    By now, you have probably heard that the sun did not set on the British Empire as a result of BrExit. Here is one chart…

  • Need a Jedi to Blow Up the R-Star

    Published 06 September 2016 | viewed 0 times

    I haven't written an article for a couple of weeks. This is not entirely unusual: I have written this commentary, in some form, since about…

  • Summary (and Extension) of My Post-CPI Tweets

    Published 16 August 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Below is a summary of my post-CPI tweets. You can (and should!) follow me @inflation_guy or sign up for email updates to my occasional articles…

  • The IMF Tries to Cause Japanese Unemployment

    Published 15 August 2016 | viewed 0 times

    It is rare that I write early on a Monday morning, but today there is this. A story on Bloomberg highlighted the pressure that the…

  • August, Productivity, and Prices

    Published 11 August 2016 | viewed 0 times

    I really don't like August. It's nothing about the weather, or the fact that the kids are really ready to be back in school (but…

  • Shooting Blanks

    Published 02 August 2016 | viewed 0 times

    Almost eight years after the bankruptcy filing of Lehman Brothers and the first of many central bank quantitative easing programs, it appears the expansion -…