Toby Connor

Contributor since: 24 Mar 2010

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• Possible Profit-Taking Event in Progress

  Published 10 October 2012 | viewed 0 times

  Since the breakdown out of the bear flag on the dollar index hasn't followed through, the odds now favor that the dollar has generated an…

• It May Be Time to Book Some Profits in the Mining Stocks

  Published 01 October 2012 | viewed 0 times

  It's been a great run over the last two months but it may be time to tighten stops on mining stocks. You can see in…

• The Next Recession Will Be Triggered by Oil

  Published 15 September 2012 | viewed 0 times

  I was confident that the Fed had already begun printing. That seemed quite evident by the overall action in the commodity markets, the dollar, and…

• Has QE3 Already Begun? Gold and Commodities May Be Saying Yes

  Published 04 September 2012 | viewed 0 times

  According to recent statements by Bernanke, the Fed stands ready to act with further easing of monetary policy (QE3) if economic conditions warrant it. But…

• Inter-market Relationships that are Driving the Stock Market and Commodities

  Published 20 August 2012 | viewed 0 times

  This will be a quick post today discussing what I expect over the next 2 years, and the inter-market relationship between the currency markets, CRB…

• Congress Are You Listening?

  Published 17 August 2012 | viewed 0 times

  Well, it's that time again. Every two years our senses are assaulted as politicians spew an endless stream of nonsense in the attempt to garner…

• Bulls Still In Control, But Time Is Running Out

  Published 13 August 2012 | viewed 0 times

  In last week's article "Three Weeks Left" I outlined a brief synopsis of what I was expecting based on how the daily cycles were unfolding.…

• Bulls Have 3 Weeks Left

  Published 06 August 2012 | viewed 0 times

  3 weeks, that's how long the bulls have left before stocks roll over and begin the next intermediate degree decline. That being said, the next…

• Too Close to Call

  Published 13 July 2012 | viewed 0 times

  Is it a bear market, or is it a bull market, that is the question. On one hand Europe is obviously in a recession. China…

• The CRB Just Formed a Final Three Year Cycle Low

  Published 29 June 2012 | viewed 0 times

  I think it's clear by the action in the dollar index this morning and the response by risk assets in general, that the bottom I…

• Oil and the CRB Approaching a Final Bottom

  Published 21 June 2012 | viewed 0 times

  June has been the month of major bottoms. Stocks and gold have already formed major yearly cycle lows. Now it's the CRB's turn to put…

• Major Cycle Bottom in Gold and Commodities

  Published 03 June 2012 | viewed 0 times

  The following article is a reproduction of the weekend report published on June 2 for premium newsletter subscribers.   Stocks: With Friday's employment report a…

• Major Long-Term Bottoms Forming in Gold and Commodities

  Published 18 May 2012 | viewed 0 times

  Once every year gold and stocks form a major yearly cycle low. Commodities form a major cycle bottom every 2 1/2 to 3 years. Every…

• Gold is at or Very Near, a Long-Term Bottom

  Published 08 May 2012 | viewed 0 times

  I am making Monday's premium report available to the public. I doubt anyone was surprised by the reversal in the dollar index today. Larger Image…

• The Inflation Trade is On: Bernanke Has Broken the Dollar Rally

  Published 02 May 2012 | viewed 0 times

  It may not seem like much happened yesterday, but a very important event occurred. Yesterday the dollar index breached 78.65. The reason that is significant…

• Gold's B-Wave Bottom

  Published 25 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

  Over the last several days volatility in the gold market has collapsed forming what is known as a coil. I think the Fed announcement tomorrow…

• Stocks Have Reached the Euphoria Stage

  Published 09 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

  The last bull ended when the leading stock, GOOG, entered a parabolic "bubble" phase. That was the signal that the bull had reached the euphoria…

• The Beginning of the End

  Published 04 April 2012 | viewed 0 times

  As convincing as this rally has been I am confident this is an ending phase and not the start a new secular bull market. Actually…

• Can Bernanke Break the Dollar Rally?

  Published 26 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

  In response to a bursting real estate and credit bubble in 2007 Bernanke's solution was to crank up the printing press and flood the world…

• Has the Correction Finally Begun?

  Published 06 March 2012 | viewed 0 times

  Today is a classic example of why I have been warning traders not to push the long side of the stock market. When these creeper…