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Toby Connor

Toby Connor

Contributor since: 24 Mar 2010

Biography

GoldScents is a financial blog focused on the analysis of the stock market and the secular gold bull market. Subscriptions to the premium service includes a daily and weekend market update emailed to subscribers.

  • Is The Fed About To Make The Mistake Of The Decade?

    Published 04 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Just as I expected, when the market failed to rally on the debt ceiling resolution, panic set in. As I have been telling people the…

  • Devil's Advocate

    Published 29 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The persistent and mindless bullishness on gold lately has got me nervous. When I get nervous the first thing I do is pull up a…

  • 18000 New Nails in the Coffin

    Published 11 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

    As many of you know I believe that we have begun the topping process of this cyclical bull market. In a healthy market an intermediate…

  • Sign of the Bear

    Published 27 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Today I am going to teach you a little about cycles. First a little background information. I'm going to be discussing almost exclusively the intermediate…

  • Deflation in Our Future

    Published 23 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Make no mistake; the four-day rally we just saw was nothing more than short covering in front of the Fed meeting just in case Bernanke…

  • The Bear is Back and This Time it will be Much Worse

    Published 16 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Don't let the perma bulls fool you, this is not a normal correction, and it has nothing to do with Greece or Spain. This is…

  • Warning Signs

    Published 15 May 2011 | viewed 0 times

    It is been my belief that stocks and the economy have been locked in a secular bear market since March of 2000. During that period…

  • Transition Complete

    Published 12 May 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Despite my bias to see new all time lows in the dollar index, I think the dollar probably put in the three year cycle low…

  • Greatest Profit Potential of the Last Decade

    Published 03 May 2011 | viewed 0 times

    After what should be a brief pause this week commodity markets will move into the greatest rally of the last decade. As usual I will…

  • Bernanke Bottom or Crash!

    Published 27 April 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Today's FOMC meeting and press conference has the potential to either put in a daily cycle bottom in the dollar index or initiate a waterfall…

  • Dollar Cycle

    Published 20 April 2011 | viewed 0 times

    For many months now I've been warning we were going to have a dollar crisis and that dollar crisis would drive the final leg up…

  • Market Update

    Published 18 April 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Stocks: On Friday stocks formed the swing we were looking for to mark the half cycle low. The bottom came on day 5 of the…

  • End Game

    Published 21 March 2011 | viewed 0 times

    For months and months I've been warning investors that the dollar was going to come under extreme pressure sometime this year. I expected it to…

  • It's Time to Get Out!

    Published 14 March 2011 | viewed 0 times

    This is for all you folks out there with retirement accounts in the general stock market. I've been warning for many months that the cyclical…

  • Golden Fireworks are About to Begin

    Published 28 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The gold bull is now on the verge of launching the most spectacular up leg of this 10 year bull market. This spring we should…

  • There Goes the First Sector

    Published 24 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

    Bear markets begin when something fundamental breaks. Usually the sector initially affected will roll over before the general market and tends to be a warning…

  • Dollar on the Edge of the Abyss

    Published 17 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

    The dollar is now poised on the edge of the abyss. The current intermediate cycle has rolled over and is making lower lows and lower…

  • Summer Break

    Published 07 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

    It has been my contention all along that the Fed would print until something breaks. Once that break occurs we will enter the next leg…

  • Energy? No Thanks

    Published 03 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

    It seems that everyone has now jumped back on the energy band wagon; energy, solar, uranium and rare earths. I hear it constantly in the…

  • Regression to the Mean

    Published 31 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

    All markets are subject to the forces of regression. Newton's basic laws of motion; Action and reaction. At current levels both the S&P and Nasdaq…