Toby Connor

Contributor since: 24 Mar 2010

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• Is The Fed About To Make The Mistake Of The Decade?

  Published 04 August 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Just as I expected, when the market failed to rally on the debt ceiling resolution, panic set in. As I have been telling people the…

• Devil's Advocate

  Published 29 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The persistent and mindless bullishness on gold lately has got me nervous. When I get nervous the first thing I do is pull up a…

• 18000 New Nails in the Coffin

  Published 11 July 2011 | viewed 0 times

  As many of you know I believe that we have begun the topping process of this cyclical bull market. In a healthy market an intermediate…

• Sign of the Bear

  Published 27 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Today I am going to teach you a little about cycles. First a little background information. I'm going to be discussing almost exclusively the intermediate…

• Deflation in Our Future

  Published 23 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Make no mistake; the four-day rally we just saw was nothing more than short covering in front of the Fed meeting just in case Bernanke…

• The Bear is Back and This Time it will be Much Worse

  Published 16 June 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Don't let the perma bulls fool you, this is not a normal correction, and it has nothing to do with Greece or Spain. This is…

• Warning Signs

  Published 15 May 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It is been my belief that stocks and the economy have been locked in a secular bear market since March of 2000. During that period…

• Transition Complete

  Published 12 May 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Despite my bias to see new all time lows in the dollar index, I think the dollar probably put in the three year cycle low…

• Greatest Profit Potential of the Last Decade

  Published 03 May 2011 | viewed 0 times

  After what should be a brief pause this week commodity markets will move into the greatest rally of the last decade. As usual I will…

• Bernanke Bottom or Crash!

  Published 27 April 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Today's FOMC meeting and press conference has the potential to either put in a daily cycle bottom in the dollar index or initiate a waterfall…

• Dollar Cycle

  Published 20 April 2011 | viewed 0 times

  For many months now I've been warning we were going to have a dollar crisis and that dollar crisis would drive the final leg up…

• Market Update

  Published 18 April 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Stocks: On Friday stocks formed the swing we were looking for to mark the half cycle low. The bottom came on day 5 of the…

• End Game

  Published 21 March 2011 | viewed 0 times

  For months and months I've been warning investors that the dollar was going to come under extreme pressure sometime this year. I expected it to…

• It's Time to Get Out!

  Published 14 March 2011 | viewed 0 times

  This is for all you folks out there with retirement accounts in the general stock market. I've been warning for many months that the cyclical…

• Golden Fireworks are About to Begin

  Published 28 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The gold bull is now on the verge of launching the most spectacular up leg of this 10 year bull market. This spring we should…

• There Goes the First Sector

  Published 24 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Bear markets begin when something fundamental breaks. Usually the sector initially affected will roll over before the general market and tends to be a warning…

• Dollar on the Edge of the Abyss

  Published 17 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  The dollar is now poised on the edge of the abyss. The current intermediate cycle has rolled over and is making lower lows and lower…

• Summer Break

  Published 07 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It has been my contention all along that the Fed would print until something breaks. Once that break occurs we will enter the next leg…

• Energy? No Thanks

  Published 03 February 2011 | viewed 0 times

  It seems that everyone has now jumped back on the energy band wagon; energy, solar, uranium and rare earths. I hear it constantly in the…

• Regression to the Mean

  Published 31 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  All markets are subject to the forces of regression. Newton's basic laws of motion; Action and reaction. At current levels both the S&P and Nasdaq…