Toby Connor

Contributor since: 24 Mar 2010

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• Here We Go Again

  Published 18 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Humans, for whatever reason, tend to project the past into the future. It is an emotional flaw in our genetic makeup. It is also the…

• Yearly Cycle Low Approaching

  Published 11 January 2011 | viewed 0 times

  Sometime between early February and early April the market should drop down into a major yearly cycle low. Last year that cycle low came during…

• The Bear Will Return in 2011

  Published 26 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  It's almost impossible to find anyone who is long term bearish on the stock market or economy at this time. In the recent Barron's poll…

• Bad Breadth

  Published 15 December 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I've noted before that at intermediate turning points we will usually see breadth diverge from price. The McClellan oscillator is now showing a large negative…

• One of the Greatest Blunders in History

  Published 05 November 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Many years from now when we look back at history I think yesterday will be seen as one of the greatest blunders ever made by…

• Gold is Far From Topping. It's Just Getting Started

  Published 12 October 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Lately I've been seeing quite a few analysts calling for a top in gold. I have to say these analysts don't really understand what's happening.…

• Currency Crisis Has Begun

  Published 22 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

  It's been my position for a while that Bernanke's monetary policy would eventually create a currency crisis in the world's reserve currency. I warned that…

• Why Can't Politicians Understand What is Really Happening?

  Published 16 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Every time I hear a politician or economist call for more stimuli to create jobs I just shake my head and wonder, do these people…

• Deflation Never Had a Chance

  Published 08 September 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Lately we've been hearing a lot of talk about Kondratieff cycles, Elliot Wave super cycle, end of the world, deflation, deflation, deflation. What the deflationists…

• SP 950....Not so Fast

  Published 28 August 2010 | viewed 0 times

  The better than expected GDP numbers threw a slight monkey wrench in the trading plan (for you traders out there). I was expecting a gap…

• Why the US Dollar is Key

  Published 24 August 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Stocks: The move to a lower low on Friday puts the odds squarely in the "one more leg down" camp. I've noticed a couple of…

• Stocks, US Dollar, Gold and Miners

  Published 02 August 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Stocks: I expect, barring some kind a catastrophe, next week should be another good week for the market. The recent minor pullback has worked off…

• Hoping For A Break

  Published 27 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I want to discuss something that came up on the blog Friday. An anonymous poster hinted that we were going to see more gold weakness…

• Carpe Aurum (Seize the Gold)

  Published 20 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Just like the stock market, gold runs in cycles (all markets do because the humans that trade these markets go through periods of optimism and…

• Bears Beware, II

  Published 13 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

  In my last article Bear's Beware I warned that shorts were running the risk of getting caught in an explosive rally as the intermediate cycle…

• Bears Should Beware

  Published 03 July 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I'm going to go through some signs that rabid bears might do well to pay attention to because I think the market is very close…

• Still Just a Baby Bull

  Published 06 June 2010 | viewed 0 times

  It's sad to say but I'm afraid 90/95% of all retail traders/investors are not going to successfully ride the gold bull. The reason of course…

• Is This the Ending Phase?

  Published 03 June 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I have to wonder, are we entering the ending phase of this cyclical bull? For some time now I've noticed the similarities between the '02-'07…

• How Do You Answer The Question?

  Published 26 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  Let me start off by pointing out that we did indeed break below the yearly cycle low yesterday. I've been saying for a couple of…

• Focus On What Matters

  Published 20 May 2010 | viewed 0 times

  I know this is hard to do, especially when one is weathering draw downs. And of course a liberal dose of gloating from the bears…